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Entries in Obama (9)

Monday
May252009

Iran's Elections: Ahmadinejad Plays His Israel-US Cards

1978466971_1999998627_180605_337x253_ahmadinejadMahmoud Ahmadinejad has been working flat-out to maximize his vote before the Iranian Presidential election on June 12. His ‘hard-line’ stand against the West was subtly elaborated when he referred to Israel with the words of Ayatollah Khomeini, the founder of the Islamic Revolution: , when on Friday. Referring to Israel, he quoted Khomeini’s words: "They are like dogs. If you attack them, they retreat; if you retreat they attack."


Ahmadinejad’s verbal salvos against the West are part of an effort to criticise his opponents, linking them to the "concessionary" policies of the previous reformist government, led by Mohammad Khatami. According to Ahmadinejad, Khatami "could not show resistance against pressures", whereas the current government succeeded in "deflecting" pressures and “burying the sanctions in the cemetery of history".




However, if Ahmadinejad’s rhetorical attacks are primarily in a domestic arena, they are bolstered by external foes. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s National Security Adviser, Uzi Arad, said last Thursday: “Israel maintains its liberty to operate against Iran.” He added that on past occasions, Israel had not updated the US on military options.


Arad may have been shaky in his historical references, comparing Ahmadinejad to Egypt's President Nasser in 1956 and 1967, but this did not deter the United States from dropping its own hints. US Secretary of Defense Robert Gates, stated on Friday that President Obama had asked him to update the plans for the use of military force against Iran, prepared during former President George W. Bush’s terms in office.


It is irrelevant whether Gates and Obama are opposing the use of military force against Iran at this point; what matters is what Iranians perceive on the eve of the elections. Indeed, Amadinejad is countering on such perceptions in the next three weeks. That is what does matter in determining the ‘retreat-attack’ game…

Sunday
May242009

The Uncomfortable Heaviness of Responsibility: The Obama National Security Speech

Charles Gannon, a regular Enduring America and Libertas contributor, offers this evaluation --- complementing and challenging "the gut reaction" of Scott Lucas last Friday --- of President Obama's sweeping speech on national security and civil liberties at the National Archives:


Although it was not the most game-changing statement, President Barack Obama's May 21 speech at the National Archives may be one of the most defining of his Administration. It grapples frankly with topics that are largely held to be "third rails" for Presidents --- national secrecy, special powers, and interrogation --- as well as problematic inheritances from prior administrations.


For purely personal and self-serving reasons, I found this paragraph the most striking of a difficult but honest and outstanding speech:



We see that, above all, in how the recent debate has been obscured by two opposite and absolutist ends. On one side of the spectrum, there are those who make little allowance for the unique challenges posed by terrorism, and who would almost never put national security over transparency. On the other end of the spectrum, there are those who embrace a view that can be summarized in two words: "anything goes." Their arguments suggest that the ends of fighting terrorism can be used to justify any means, and that the President should have blanket authority to do whatever he wants - provided that it is a President with whom they agree.

Both sides may be sincere in their views, but neither side is right. The American people are not absolutist, and they don't elect us to impose a rigid ideology on our problems. They know that we need not sacrifice our security for our values, nor sacrifice our values for our security, so long as we approach difficult questions with honesty, and care, and a dose of common sense."


The dangers of radicalism, indeed. And a textbook example of why I contributed a series of essays, "Addressing the Dangers of Extremism", to Enduring America's predecessor and partner website, Libertas, more than a year ago (http://www.libertas.bham.ac.uk/analysis/index.htm)

The argument of that essay series, and this speech, are the same: there will be no easy answers. A "mess" such as the one left by an eight-year neocon cabal, still scrambling to live another day with front-men as dubious as Rush Limbaugh and Dick Cheney, does not clean up easily, as Obama sagely avers. And his address of the thorny issues of national security goes beyond mere functional honesty: indeed, there is more than simple ideological even-handedness at work here.


Consider either of the extreme reactions to disclosure and due prcess that Obama accurately outlines. Stand back and "game out" the employment of either extreme --- "full disclosure" vs "ends justify any means". What do you see at the end of either extreme? Success? Closure? Justice? Then you are envisioning a very different simulation-enterprise than I am. Any radical approach will surely summon its equal and opposite force into existence. This is the equilibristic property intrinsic to the gyroscopic reckoning of pluralistic political culture.


In addition to appropriating and propagating an extremified view of the situation (which will alienate and counter-activate the center of the opinion bell-curve), the optiions at either end of the spectrum would send a signal that transcends the issues being addressed.


To examine any one issue as a wholly discrete political or juridical incident is a trait of ingenuousness that can only be bred and sustained in those rarified, hyper-idealizing environments nurtured in academies, think-tanks, and coffee-house/sports-bar convocations of True Believers. I propose this very different view: in the world of political realities, Everything Influences Everything Else--and I do not mean this in some nebulous, Butterfly-effect sense. Any monofocal, sweeping gesture by Obama has the power to topple numerous delicately-balanced matrices of imminent reform like just so many cascading dominoes.



The feel-good mantra of "fiat justitia, ruat caelum" (loosely, "let justice be done, though the heavens fall") is an ideological indulgence that sideliners can enjoy because they are not the ones holding the reins of responsibility. In stark contrast, I don't think the actions of any President, but particularly this one, can be adequately analyzed without bearing in mind that he DOES hold those heavy reins, and they compel a more inclusive and balanced view of one's actions --- and the dire cause-effect chains they can set in motion.
Friday
May222009

The UN Special Envoy to the Middle East: "Let's Wait and See."

robert-serry-gde


Robert Serry, the UN Special Envoy to the Middle East, appeared on BBC's Hard Talk, hosted by Stephen Sackur, last Monday.  Serry's "wait and see" approach, shedding light on the relationship between Israel and the UN since Operation Cast Lead in January, again called the extent of the effectiveness of the UN into question.



Here are some remarkable extracts from the conversation:

The Confession of the Trust Problem between the United Nations and the State of Israel
S.S.: Robert Serry, welcome to Hard Talk. Would you accept that you have a problem? You are the UN’s envoy to the Middle East peace process, yet one party to the Middle East conflict, that is, Israel, does not trust the UN.

R.S.: I took the job; I knew it was not going to be an easy one. What you refer to is something which I think we have to resolve. And I do believe that Israel will look at peacekeeping operations. And the UN peacekeeping operation is one of the most successful.

S.S.: UN plays a role in various ways across the Middle East region. But would you accept that there is a fundamental problem of trust between Israel and the United Nations?

R.S.: Yes, I think we have a problem, and it is there to be resolved.

“Yes” to an Investigation but No Breakthrough:
S.S.: Do you believe that war crimes were committed? And a special panel created by the Human Rights Council must go to Gaza and Israel and do a detailed investigation of allegations these war crimes?

R.S.: Certainly. And the Goldstone mission is preparing to go.

S.S.: The Israelis will not let you into Gaza. What did they say; when you said the panel must be allowed in? What did they say?

R.S.: We have not yet received a final answer on that issue.

A Vague Answer to the Current Situation of Gazans:
S.S.: John Ging who runs the Relief Operation in Gaza Strip. I am quoting his words: “The level of access to humanitarian assistance in Gaza today is wholly and totally inadequate.” If the situation is current and if the Israelis are refusing to lift the blockade, to stop the situation being wholly and totally inadequate, does that constitute a violation of humanitarian law?

R.S.: You can not keep a population hostage, no matter how difficult a security situation Israel claims it finds itself in. We have had a war, and after the war, none of the underlying issues in Gaza have been resolved. The rocket fire, into the southern Israel, which is completely unacceptable, and the Secretary General has always called it for what it is, terror acts. But for the moment, there is a relative calm. Then we have the continued siege. There is enough food and medicine, but we cannot start the process of reconstruction four months after the conflict. Then you have Palestinian reconciliation. You have illicit smuggling of arms, and of course, Gilad Shalit. We had all these issues before, and we still have them. We desperately need a more positive situation for Gaza. The UN has been one of the first to go for that.

A Cold Shower:
S.S.: When I hear that long list, I wonder if you have one of the most frustrating jobs in the world. I can talk about a number of mission you have tried to undertake, and it seems that you have absolutely no leverage, no impact at all.

R.S.: I don’t think so.

S.S.: Can you point to where you have actually changed the situation on the ground in this conflict between Israel and the Palestinians?

R.S.: Come back to Gaza, we are making a difference. We are involved in the difficult situation between the Palestinian factions.

Did Someone Ask about Hamas?




S.S.: But you can not talk to Hamas, can you?
R.S.: I don’t talk to them myself.
S.S.: You do not to talk to Hamas, do you think you should?
R.S.: Let us take a step back.
S.S.: A direct question, should you be able to talking to Hamas, given your role as the UN Special Envoy?
S.R.: If Hamas would take the steps which and I needed to have a successful reconciliation – these are the real issues. If it would be like that, I would be the first to talk to them.
S.S.: Your predecessor has made it quite plain that he believes the UN, the players to the peace process, must engage with and involve Hamas. He said that isolating them has been a disaster.
S.R.: I agree with him there. Having a siege in Gaza leads nowhere. It is a policy which I do not support. We have the Quartet. We have the so called Quartet principles which mean that the Palestinian government needs to renounce violence. It needs to recognize Israel and abide by previous commitments. We are now at a very important moment if we are looking ahead. A renewed, serious attempt, led by the new administration of the United States.
S.S.: Here is what strikes me… The situation has changed. We have Barak Obama in the White House; a man who says he wants to reach out to those enemies who prepared to unclench their fists. We have George Mitchell who was involved in the process of making peace in Northern Ireland when the peacemakers had to talk to the IRA long before they put down their weapons and committed to the lasting peace. We also have the Americans in Iraq who worked with indeed armed men. In this 21st century of peacemaking, can you not accept that you will have to accept Hamas?
R.S.: I would be the first and happy to talk to Hamas if it indeed leads to some positive results.


“Give Time to Netanyahu”:




S.S.: You told there about a two-state solution. Those are words which Benjamin Netanyahu has steadfastly refused to use since he became the Israeli prime minister. Does that worry you?
R.S.: He will talk with President Obama…
S.S.: You have a Prime Minister who finds it very difficult to even to say the words two-state solution, which you say must be the very underpinning of any solution? Is that a problem?
R.S.: It could be a problem.
S.S.: It is a very big problem.
R.S.: We have a new government. The elected government is having its own policy review at the moment. We have to give time to complete that. They will then tell us where they stand.


“Wait & See” Part 1:




S.S.: If the Israelis refuse to cooperate with this UN Commission, what will relations be?
R.S.: Let’s wait and see.


“Wait & See” Part 2:




S.S.: Do you think the government led by Benjamin Netanyahu is going to stop the settlement expansion?
R.S.: Let’s wait and see.
S.S.: All right, let’s wait and see on that.


Sadly we can't embed a video here, but readers in the UK can watch the show on the BBC iPlayer.

Saturday
May162009

President-Possibly-A-Muslim: Obama Bows Down...Again!

Latest Post: Video Alert - Obama Does Not Bow to Saudi King

Last month Enduring America brought you the controversy surrounding Obama's apparent bow to King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia. We were sceptical, but after a link from a major news site brought us thousands of new readers, it was established that the bow could mean only one thing: President Obama was secretly a Muslim and a terrorist (cos al-Qaeda terrorists love the Saudi royal family, doncha know). Now he's at it again...and we have the picture to prove it.


Obama Bow 2


The cat's out of the bag- President Obama is clearly bowing to this child. Just where do his loyalties lie? To the American people? Or to five-year-olds?


[Photo by Mark Knoller, via Squashed, via AZspot]




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