2000 GMT: What War Game is The Economist Playing Out? The British journal has an “analysis” which, given the publication’s usual journalistic standards, is shocking: “An Iranian nuclear bomb, or the bombing of Iran?”
The piece starts with a series of false steps and distortions to get from premise — the second enrichment plant at Fordoo near Qom — to conclusion: “brazen”, “belligerent” Iran is “on the threshold of becoming a nuclear (military) power”. That’s pnly a prelude, however, to “news” posing as advocacy of Bomb, Bomb Iran.
The journal gives unwarranted prominence to a road show by two former US Senators and a former Air Force General who are talking up a strike and then intones, “Israel’s threats of military action might be more credible than America’s”. That allows The Economist to play big boys with big toys, sketching out how a military attack might unfold, before offering a most sensible “compromise”:
So which will it be: a war with Iran, or a nuclear-armed Iran? Short of a revolution that sweeps away the Iranian regime—ushering in one that agrees, like post-apartheid South Africa, to give up its nuclear technology—sanctions may offer the only hope of avoiding the awful choice.
1940 GMT: Strike. A statement from the “Lawyers of the Green Movement of Iranian People” calls for strikes as “a civil action for acquiring one’s rights” and adds this summary of the movement: “The Green Movement doesn’t belong to anybody. Its leaders are different shades of people that are gathered around democracy. It is the people that are leading the movement.”
Any information about this initiative would be appreciated, as the group is new to us.
1920 GMT: Preventing 16 Azar. An article in Deutsche Welle summarises that more than 90 students have been arrested in the last three weeks. The International Campaign for Human Rights in Iran outlines some of the cases of the “stepped up persecution and prosecution of student activists throughout the country”.
1910 GMT: A Signal from the Leader? An EA reader tips us off that Ayatollah Khomeini’s office has distributed copies, not published before, of a Supreme Leader speech from this summer reminding members of Parliament of their proper role and responsibilities.
Now, this would have no connection whatsoever with the troublesome rebellion of more than a few legislators against the Ahmadinejad Government, right?
1810 GMT: Any Connection Here? On the same day that a Government minister threatened his son with arrest and trial, Hashemi Rafsanjani put forth another general criticism of that Government: “Today there is no room to hide the matter. The difficulties presented by the political disputes are grave.” Read the rest of this entry »
1900 GMT: Some Good News for Mahmoud. President Ahmadinejad and his Brazilian counterpart, Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, signed 13 cooperation agreements on trade, energy, stocks and banking, agriculture, news agenices, technology, culture, and visa requirements.
1735 GMT: Mortazavi Mystery Over? After days of rumours that he was in Evin Prison, former Tehran Prosecutor General Saeed Mortazavi has appeared at the memorial service for Ali Kordan, the former Minister of Interior who died this weekend.
1725 GMT: Isolating Rafsanjani? Division of opinion here amongst EA staff: one colleague is saying Hashemi Rafsanjani is a spent force while another is arguing strongly that “the Shark” is far from finished and about to make another move.
If the latter, those in the regime opposed to Rafsanjani (and possibly worried about the possibility of his working in combination with Ali Larijani) will try to block it. Having dismissed him from the rota for Friday Prayers in Tehran and the Qods Day Prayer, authorities are now taking away the Eid al-Adha Prayer from Rafsanjani and giving it to Ahmad Khatami.
2100 GMT: This summer’s proposed privatisation of Iran Telecom has had everything from Russian involvement to Revolutionary Guard manoeuvring, so make what you will of this story from Press TV: “Iran has postponed the planned flotation of the country’s Telecommunications Company, originally scheduled for Wednesday, in the Tehran Stock Exchange.”
1730 GMT: Battle Renewed? From this morning’s analysis: “One of [the challengers], conservative and principlist critics of the Government, has remained silent.”
Well, we need to make a minor amendment. Sniping has resumed over President Ahmadinejad’s choice of First Vice President, Mohammad Reza Rahimi. Yesterday prominent conservative MP Ali Motahhari said the appointment of Rahimi signalled “bad taste” and “a tendency to quarrel” by Ahmadinejad. Rahimi’s academic credentials presented “the same problems” as the ones possessed by former Minister of the Interior, Ali Kordan, who was forced to resign for falsely claiming a doctorate from Oxford University.
Today MP Ahmad Tavakoli echoed, “Rahimi’s degree is fake and similar to Kordan’s.” He added, “Appointing someone who has a record of lying and abusing power who can potentially substitute for the president is regrettable.”
So it is this a re-run of Ahmadinejad’s failed effort in July to appoint Esfandiar Rahim-Mashai as First Vice President, an affair which damaged the President for a few weeks until he was able to push through his Cabinet choices?
1700 GMT: Khatami’s In. An official from Mohammad Khatami’s office says that the former President invites all Iranians to participate in Qods Day ceremonies “to protest the occupation of Palestine and the oppression of Palestinians”.