The Latest from Iran (25 September): The Nuclear Distraction
Posted by Scott Lucas in Middle East & IranNEW Video: Ahmadinejad Interview with Time Magazine
NEW Transcript: Obama and Sarkozy Statements on Iran Nuclear Programme
NEW Iran: Obama’s “Get-Tough” Move for Engagement
Iran: Rafsanjani, Ahmadinejad, and the Multi-Sided Chess Match
Latest Video: Full Speech of Ahmadinejad at UN General Assembly
Iran: English Text of Letters between Mousavi and Montazeri (13 and 22 September)
1835 GMT: Report that Azar Mansouri, deputy head of the Islamic Iran Participation Front, has been arrested after an interview with Norooz.
1735 GMT: Is Iran’s “Secret Nuclear Plant” Legal? The quick soundbite for Time from its interview with President Ahmadinejad is “”This does not mean we must inform Mr. Obama’s administration of every facility that we have.”
However, Ahmadinejad may have a point, one which is relevant to the current case. Iran notified the IAEA on Monday that it was constructing a new pilot enrichment plant. If Tehran has not put nuclear material into this facility, Iran is in compliance with the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty’s Comprehensive Full Scope Safeguards Agreement, which requires it to a six-month notification period before nuclear material is put in the facility. (Iran withdrew from the more Subsidiary Agreement 3.1, which requires more detailed and timely notification, after the International Atomic Energy Agency referred Iran’s nuclear program to the U.N. Security Council.
So the case to prosecute Iran under the Non-Proliferation Treaty is not clear-cut. Of course, the US can and will rely upon the U.N. Security Council resolutions demanding that Iran cease all enrichment. Whether other countries (China, Russia) take the same line remains to be seen.
1730 GMT: President Ahmadinejad may have backed out of an encounter with the New York media, but he did give a one-on-one video interview to Time magazine. We’ve posted in a separate entry.
1700 GMT: President Ahmadinejad has replaced his New York press conference with an interview with Press TV.
1500 GMT: We’ve just posted Chris Emery’s shrewd analysis of the politics of the US revelation of the “secret nuclear plant” and the Obama statement: “This high-profile initiative by Obama was designed to get movement on engagement.”
1425 GMT: Amidst the continuing chatter on the Obama statement — no additional information, just the theme of “He was Really Tough” — news services drop in this interesting twist “Ahmadinejad cancels his 5 pm EST (2100 GMT) speech in NYC [New York City]“.
1245 GMT: The Obama Line. The President has just made his statement on the Iran “secret nuclear plant”. The message? This demonstrates Iran’s “continuing unwillingness” to meets its “international obligations” on development of nuclear capability. This showed the “urgency” of resolution at talks with Iran on 1 October in Geneva.
French President Nicolas Sarkozy has backed this up by saying “everything must be put on the table”, and British Prime Minister Gordon Brown has proclaimed this “the most urgent problem” of today.
This feels more and more like a scripted play. The “West” has known for some time that Iran was constructing a second uranium enrichment plant but had not announced this to the International Atomic Energy Agency. Tehran figured out that the US had learned of the plant and was preparing a big setpiece, ahead of the 1 October talks, to reveal the Iranian duplicity. So Iran went to the IAEA on Monday to put its plans above-board. This, however, was not going to deflect the US-UK-France scheme to put Iran on the defensive in advance of the first direct discussions between Washington and Tehran.
Tags: Ann Curry, Assembly of Experts, Ayatollah Ahmad Jannati, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Azar Mansouri, David Sanger, Fareed Zakaria, Guardian Council, Hashemi Rafsanjani, International Atomic Energy Agency, Iran, Iran Elections 2009, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, NBC, New York Times, Norooz, Nuclear Proliferation

2135 GMT: The Best Rumour of the Day (1745 GMT) is now Fun Fact of the Day. Iranian state television did show tonight’s football match in black-and-white, and 







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