1 a.m. Last night we closed with: “At the very least, I’m grateful that there has been a cessation of violence in Gaza. My concern is that we’re at the start of a different phase which will not bring resolution but further hardship.”
More of the same tonight. Today has been for mourning rather than dying — only one death from violence to my knowledge, while close to 100 bodies have been pulled from the rubble. There appears to be a very gradual Israeli pullback from the edges of the cities as they re-trench in their military occupation.
The politics today was posturing, as a lot of leaders tried to figure out how to respond to Israel’s unilateral “cease-fire”. The Europeans appear to be paralysed, as they await a President Obama, while Egypt’s Hosni Mubarak is scrambling to save his personal position. The Saudis have gone into hiding.
That means that the diplomatic baton — perhaps unexpectedly, if you scripted this a month ago — passes to Syria and other countries pursuing a stronger line in favour of Hamas. They will be at the Arab countries’ economic summit in Kuwait tomorrow, and it will be interesting to see how forthright they take their position to Egypt and Saudi Arabia.
The main question remains: how long will Israel hold out with its re-occupation in the hope that Hamas will crumble?
Update: Make of this what you will — Rafah Kid has posted on Twitter, “Seriously they always use banned stuff…the dum dum bullets are back too…small entry and MASSIVE exit hole..noone cares”
In today’s Ha’aretz, Amira Haas not only dares to ask, “Is Israel using illegal weapons in Gaza?”, but uses reports and the expertise of military analyst Mark Garlasco to give a definitive and detailed Yes.
Garlasco confirms the use of white phosphorous and suggests it arises from “conclusions drawn from the Second Lebanon War, in which the IDF [Israeli Defense Forces] lost many tanks”. He also notes the first use in warfare of the GPS-guided mortar, with an unexpected range of error that led to the bombing of the Jabaliya school/shelter, and he confirms the use of the US-supplied “bunker-busting bomb” GBU-39.
12:10 a.m. With a lull in activity, we’re going for some downtime. We half-expected a major Israeli ground attack before dawn but it appears that the Israeli Cabinet may still be undecided about pushing into Gazan cities.
Meanwhile, it’s safe — and sad — to say that all is stalled on the political front. This has settled into a frustrating circle: none of the major players wants to appear to make a concession to Hamas (since most of those players want to get rid of the organisation) and, without a concession such as the opening of border crossings, Hamas will not negotiate for a cease-fire.
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