2120 GMT: The Most Important Story of the Day — There Wasn’t A Story. We’ll probably lead with this in the morning analysis but let’s be clear, especially with regime defenders continuing to hold onto the turnout of 30 December as proof of the Government’s legitimacy:
Where were the events today on the first day of the Anniversary of the Revolution celebrations? Normally, Hashemi Rafsanjani would give a speech in a grand event in Imam Khomeini’s shrine, surrounded by people. This year there was a small gathering, mainly officials, in Behesht-e-Zahra cemetery; member of Parliament Gholam-Ali Haddad Adel gave the speech. Seyed Hassan Khomeini, the Imam’s grandson, did not participate after his muted reception of President Ahmadinejad (see 1345 and 1430 GMT).
2105 GMT: Brother, Where Art Thou? For the second time in recent days, Davoud Ahmadinejad has indulged in a bit of criticism of his brother’s Government. He has declared that it must answer the denunciations of prominent member of Parliament Ali Mottahari, as “freedom has not been defined”.
2050 GMT: Well, That Settles It Then. Minister of Intelligence Heydar Moslehi has said that his ministry has found clues in the the case of “nuclear physicist” Masoud Ali Mohammadi. These establish that “a combination of Israelis and counter-revolutionaries” are involved, even though there have been no arrests.
1905 GMT: Marking Out the Protests. Effectively defending the right of protesters to gather for rallies, including 22 Bahman (11 February), while staying within the system, former President Mohammad Khatami said today, “We have always invited the people to peacefulness.”
1855 GMT: Really, They Were Very, Very Bad. The regime, trying to justify last week’s executions of Mohammad Reza Ali Zamani and Arash Rahmanipour, has released details of their purported interrogations:
2145 GMT: The Karroubi Story. We’ve worked tonight through the stories, the rumours, and possibilities to post an interim analysis of Mehdi Karroubi’s statement today on “Mr Khamenei” and Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, “the head of the government of the regime”.
2140 GMT: In Case You Missed It. Persian2English reports: “Abolfazl Eslami, former Counselor of the Iranian Embassy in Tokyo, writes that he has decided to join people’s movement in light of the Islamic Republics’ violence and oppression.”
1955 GMT: And on the Clerical Front. Ayatollah Bayat-Zanjani has renewed his criticism of the regime, asking Iran’s leaders to do “nahy az monker” (repent from the bad way).
1945 GMT: Remember the Economic Front? Most of the management of Bank Melli have been replaced.
1935 GMT: We are hoping to have a thorough, on-the-mark analysis, from an EA correspondent with excellent sources, of the Karroubi statement about 2130 GMT. (To be blunt, I got it wrong earlier today, but I think, thanks to a lot of help, we’ll have the best possible reading by the end of tonight.)
Meanwhile, another piece of evidence to put into the mix, indicating that Karroubi is not recognising Ahmadinejad as President but merely as a “selected leader”. He told Rah-e-Sabz that he stood by his comments, but the people have problems which must be solved by the government, which is responsible for the situation. He repeated a statement he had made to an English newspaper: “I am convinced that Ahmadinejad will not stay for four years.” Read the rest of this entry »
2240 GMT: Balatarin Lives (for Real). An update and possible correction on our earlier story (1914 GMT) about the fate of Balatarin, the Iranian news portal. The site is back up, and some Iranian activists are saying that the supposed “successor” Agah Tarin was actually a regime attempt at imitation.
2000 GMT: An Iranian activist reports that journalist Nasrin Vaziri has been released after 23 days in prison.
1950 GMT: Rah-e-Sabz reports that Ali Reza Beheshti, Mir Hossein Mousavi’s chief advisor, has suffered a heart attack in detention. It adds, however, that Beheshti has contacted his family and said that he is now better.
1914 GMT: Balatarin Lives. Balatarin, an Iranian website similar to the Digg or NewsVine portals, has been an important news source during the post-election crisis but was knocked off-line recently. Now a successor, Agah Tarin, has appeared.
1910 GMT: Mohsen Safai Farahani, recently sentenced to six years in prison, will be released today on bail of $700.000 $ for five days during the appeal against the verdict.
1900 GMT: The Battle Against Ahmadinejad. For all of our attention to the manoeuvres around the Supreme Leader’s speech, this may be the most important news on the in-fighting in the establishment. An unnamed influential member of the hardliners who supports the Government declares that Ahmadinejad Chief of Staff Esfandiar Rahim-Mashai “is out”.
2115 GMT: Persian2English, from Ali Tavakoli, reports that the Revolutionary Court has handed down an 8 1/2-year prison sentence to student leader Majid Tavakoli, arrested on 16 Azar (7 December), for participation in an illegal gathering (5 years), propaganda against the regime (1 year), insult of the Supreme Leader (2 years), and insult of the President (6 months). In addition, Tavakoli is banned from any involvement in political activities and forbidden to leave the country for five years.
1940 GMT: Nuclear Deadlock. The Associated Press reports, from diplomatic sources, that Tehran has formally responded to the “third-party enrichment” proposal by insisting that a swap of uranium stock has to take place inside Iran.
1935 GMT: The Khatami Criticism. The website sympathetic to Mir Hossein Mousavi has posted a full summary of Mohammad Khatami’s scatching critique of the Ahmadinejad Government (1545 GMT and 1749 GMT). Another notable extract is Khatami’s assessment of the Parliamentary investigation on the detainee abuses at Kahrizak Prison: “This report is a sad evidence of a disaster in the Islamic Republic….Much of the truth has not been told but even this little is enough to shaken the back bone of those devoted to the establishment, Islam and Iran.”
1920 GMT: Rah-e Sabz is now saying that the reported closure of the Hosseinieh at Jamaran (see 1800 GMT) by Seyed Hassan Khomeini was a lie of the “conservative” press and the house of worship is now open for “people’s pilgrimage”. Read the rest of this entry »
2205 GMT: And Here’s Another One. Looks like the campaign against Hashemi Rafsanjani hasn’t stopped. Someone in the regime has ensured that he will not be leading the ceremony at Imam Khomeini’s memorial on 11 Bahman (1 February), the start of celebrations of Iran’s Islamic Revolution.
2200 GMT: Political Teasers. While I’ve been out, EA readers have been sending in a series of interesting stories on the manoeuvres inside the establishment — we’ll have the best of them, with an analysis, to start Tuesday morning. Meanwhile….
Ayande News continues its campaign against former 1st Vice President and Ahmadinejad aide Esfandiar Rahim-Mashi. The newspaper features the claim that several Rahim-Mashai relatives have been appointed to the board of the state automobile company Saipa, taking a controlling interest.
Rahim-Mashai’s son, Reza, has become managing director of Saipa’s investment branch while his nephew is now the company’s head of business development.
2150 GMT: More on the assassination of prosecutor Vali Haji Gholizadeh, shot dead in front of his home in Khoy City in Iran’s West Azerbaijan province, bordering Turkey and Iraq. A police official says, “A special unit has been formed to identify those behind this assassination.” Read the rest of this entry »
2250 GMT: The Regime Sacrifices Mortazavi (on US Television). What a way to close the evening. In an interview on CNN tonight, Tehran University academic Seyed Mohammad Marandi effectively gave up former Tehran Prosecutor General Saeed Mortazavi as the man responsible for the detainee abuses and deaths at Kahrizak Prison. We’ve got the video and a snap analysis.
1945 GMT: Don’t Look Now But…. Former 1st Vice President and Presidential ally Esfandiar Rahim-Mashai is handing out wisdom, according to Press TV: “The Islamic system’s adherence to keep an ‘unbreakable connection’ between its legitimacy and popularity is the key to its survival.”
Don’t want to rain on this supremacy parade, Mr R-M, but given recent developments (see 1035 GMT and 1100 GMT), you want to think about your own survival before pronouncing on that of the Islamic Republic. Read the rest of this entry »
This is one of two items we are carrying today from Ahmad Shirzad, a former member of Parliament, physicist, and friend of the killed Professor Massoud Ali-Mohammadi. In the other, Shirzad offers a moving account of the funeral of Ali-Mohammadi.
Shirzad: He was extremely serious in his work. He was a hard worker. He published a total of 58 scientific articles in his field, which is an outstanding record and rare in Iran. He was also a successful teacher. His students have great memories of him and ee was very popular at Tehran University because of his good relations with the students. He was very successful in attracting students. Overall, he was an extremely active intellectual. Read the rest of this entry »
Ahmad Shirzad, a former member of Parliament, physicist, and friend of Professor Massoud Ali-Mohammadi, posted these thoughts on the funeral on his blog. Translated by Iran Rises:
Today [Thursday, 14 February], Massoud’s body was buried, but left a battlefield behind. The Hezbollahi (Party of God) brothers had mobilized from that morning and did not stop surrounding the body for an instant.
Loudspeakers and electric generators and eulogizers and very high-power stereo systems and organized pickup trucks were all at their disposal. The family and its circle had practically no control and gave up on the program. From the day that Dr. Ali-Mohammadi was assassinated, the officers came and went and insisted that his body be buried during the Tehran Friday prayers. The only point that the family could get its way on was its insistence that the burial ceremonies be held on Thursday. Read the rest of this entry »
2120 GMT: The Most Important Story of the Day — There Wasn’t A Story. We’ll probably lead with this in the morning analysis but let’s be clear, especially with regime defenders continuing to hold onto the turnout of 30 December as proof of the Government’s legitimacy:
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