2240 GMT: Balatarin Lives (for Real). An update and possible correction on our earlier story (1914 GMT) about the fate of Balatarin, the Iranian news portal. The site is back up, and some Iranian activists are saying that the supposed “successor” Agah Tarin was actually a regime attempt at imitation.
2000 GMT: An Iranian activist reports that journalist Nasrin Vaziri has been released after 23 days in prison.
1950 GMT: Rah-e-Sabz reports that Ali Reza Beheshti, Mir Hossein Mousavi’s chief advisor, has suffered a heart attack in detention. It adds, however, that Beheshti has contacted his family and said that he is now better.
1914 GMT: Balatarin Lives. Balatarin, an Iranian website similar to the Digg or NewsVine portals, has been an important news source during the post-election crisis but was knocked off-line recently. Now a successor, Agah Tarin, has appeared.
1910 GMT: Mohsen Safai Farahani, recently sentenced to six years in prison, will be released today on bail of $700.000 $ for five days during the appeal against the verdict.
1900 GMT: The Battle Against Ahmadinejad. For all of our attention to the manoeuvres around the Supreme Leader’s speech, this may be the most important news on the in-fighting in the establishment. An unnamed influential member of the hardliners who supports the Government declares that Ahmadinejad Chief of Staff Esfandiar Rahim-Mashai “is out”.
1940 GMT: Karroubi’s Latest Letter. Mehdi Karroubi has written to Iran Prosecutor General Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Ejeie and Habib-allah Askaroladi, the secretary general of the conservative Mo’talefe party, posting the letter on his Tagheer website.
The letter is a renewal of Karroubi’s campaign for the truth on reports of abuse of detainees, responding to the attempts of Mohseni-Ejeie and Askaroladi to cast doubt on his claims and motives. He repeats his earlier account of meetings with the three-member judiciary panel that was appointed to consider the charges. In particular, he states that, while he raised the case of Saeedeh Pouraghai but warned that it might be false. (The claims that Pouraghai had been raped and killed by security forces are now discounted. Some believe the case was “manufactured” by the regime so it would discredit the opposition when the falsehood emerged.)
Karroubi also challenges Askaroladi’s claims that the Green movement is financed by millions of dollars from the US Government and demands that Mousavi and Karroubi “must be dealt with”.
1625 GMT: Rumour of Day “Mortazavi in Evin Prison”. Norooz claims that Saeed Mortazavi, who was Tehran’s Prosecutor General in the early part of the post-election crisis, has been spotted in prison garb at Evin Prison. The website claims that Mortazavi has not been seen in public in two months and raises the possibility that he will disappear via “suicide”, just like Kahrizak prison doctor Ramin Pourandarjan. (Norooz also sees parallels with the case of Said Emami, the intelligence operative and deputy minister found dead in his cell a decade ago. He was blamed for a series of murders after his death.)
1610 GMT: Abtahi Freed. The picture of former Vice President Mohammad Ali Abtahi provides happy confirmation of his release on bail after 160 days in detention (see 0735 and1405 GMT). Read the rest of this entry »
1340 GMT: The “reformist” Parliamentary group Imam Khomeini Line has denounced today’s events as a “so-called trial”.
1330 GMT: Fars News Agency has published the “confession” of former Vice President Abtahi; this differs somewhat from the version reported out of the trial (see 1210 GMT). This may be because Fars had an advance “script” of Abtahi’s testimony.
1210 GMT: Blaming Hashemi. And now to the political point of today’s proceedings. Take note of how the “confession” of former Vice President Mohammad Ali Abtahi, as described by Fars News, is set out to tie former President Rafsanjani into the “plot” of the opposition:
After the election [Mohammad] Khatami and Rafsanjani had sworn to have each other’s back, and I don’t understand the point of it, knowing the diference [in votes between Ahmadienjad and Mousavi] was 11 million….Hashemi wanted to take revange on Ahmadinejad and the Supreme Leader….
Mousavi probably did not know the country, but Khatami, with all due respect… knew all the issues. He was aware of the capability and power of the leader, but he joined Mousavi and this was a betrayal,…I see myself as a reformist but stated that Khatami did not have the right to force [this] on Mousavi. I did not agree with Ahmadinejad’s presidency but believe in people’s votes, and congratulated as people’s choice as the president.
It was wrong of me to take part in the rallies, but [Mehdi] Karroubi told me that we cannot call the people onto the streets with such a meagre number of votes, so we had better go to the streets ourselves to demonstrate our protest.
But, if Rafsanjani is the chief villain, Iran can thank its ultimate hero:
If the Supreme Leader would have backed up even a bit, today Iran’s distress would have gone as far as that in Afghanistan and Pakistan; therefore people should thank the supreme leader for his moves. I am telling all friends and all that hear our voices to know the election matter was a lie to make an excuse for riots so Iran would have changed to another Iraq and Afghanistan so [the opposition] could hurt the regime and take over.
1140 GMT: How Serious is that “Foreign Plot”? Well, Mark Palmer is far from a covert practitioner of regime change: he is the author of Breaking the Axis of Evil, which “has the gumption to argue what diplomats and political leaders dare not speak: that global peace with not be achieved until democracies replace the world’s remaining dictatorships”. A former State Department official, he advocated the invasion of Iraq well before March 2003, and he is now with the American Enterprise Institute.
Abbas Milani is also not very secretive: he is one of the most prominent US-based analysts of Iran. He is a research fellow at the Hoover Institution, another “conservative” think tank (one of its most notable associates is former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice). While critical of the Iranian system, Milani has not advocated “regime change”.
And Gene Sharp, singled out in the prosecution’s indictment (see 0938 GMT), is an academic who has written for decades “on the strategic uses of nonviolent struggle in face of dictatorship, war, genocide, and oppression”. A long-time fellow at Harvard University, the “instructions” cited in the indictment are not direct orders to the defendants (unless the prosecution has some dramatic evidence that Sharp has ever met any of them) but a reference to the general theories and analysis in his books.
Put bluntly, if this is a “foreign plot”, as the Iranian prosecutors allege, it’s a very poorly-designed one indeed, given that it took me five minutes to assemble the above information. Read the rest of this entry »