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Tuesday
Nov042008

Election Snapshot: The House of Representatives

YOUR SNAPSHOT SUMMARY: A Democratic gain of 15-20 seats, reinforcing their majority in the House of Representatives, is possible tonight.

Projections for the Presidential contest and for the Senate races were posted earlier today.

All but one of the 435 seats in the "junior" chamber of Congress are contested tonight. The House usually receives less attention than the Senate, and the stakes are not so high this year because the Democrats established a clear majority in the 2006 elections. They now hold 235 seats v. 199 for the Republicans (one seat is vacant because of the recent death of a Representative).

In most seats, the incumbent is unopposed or faces nominal opposition, but in about a tenth of the races, there is a possibility of a change of parties. As with the Presidential and Senate races, the Republicans are on the defensive.

REPUBLICAN VULNERABILITIES: 35

ALABAMA 2nd, ALASKA, ARIZONA 1st, CALIFORNIA 4th, COLORADO 4th, CONNECTICUT 4th, FLORIDA 21st, FLORIDA 24th, FLORIDA 25th, IDAHO 1st, ILLINOIS 10th, ILLINOIS 11th, INDIANA 3rd, LOUISIANA 4th, MICHIGAN 7th, MICHIGAN 9th, MINNESOTA 3rd, MINNESOTA 6th, NEVADA 3rd, NEW JERSEY 3rd, NEW JERSEY 7th, NEW MEXICO 1st, NEW MEXICO 5th, NEW YORK 13th, NEW YORK 25th, NEW YORK 29th, NORTH CAROLINA 8th, OHIO 15th, PENNSYLVANIA 3rd, SOUTH CAROLINA 1st, OHIO 1st, OHIO 16th, VIRGINIA 11th, WASHINGTON 8th, WYOMING

DEMOCRATIC VULNERABILITIES: 9

ALABAMA 5th, FLORIDA 16th, GEORGIA 8th, KANSAS 2nd, LOUISIANA 6th, MISSISSIPPI 1st, NEW HAMPSHIRE 1st, PENNSYLVANIA 11th, TEXAS 22nd

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