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Sunday
Nov082009

UPDATED Iran Video & Translation: Mehdi Karroubi on the 13 Aban Protests

Iran: An Opposition Renewing, A Government in Trouble
Iran: Question for the Regime “What’s Your Next Punch?”
NEW Latest Iran Video: More from 13 Aban
Iran’s New 13 Aban: An Eyewitness Account “I Have Never Seen as Much Violence”
Iran: Josh Shahryar on the Significance of 13 Aban
The Latest from Iran (8 November): Challenge Renewing?

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A translation by Josh Shahryar follows the video:

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ayrQJRy8Jrs[/youtube]

One of the most important happenings that took place after the revolution was the takeover of the American Embassy, both for those who supported it and those who opposed it. Annually, actions were taken to commemorate this event. This year, keeping in mind the current situation in the country, some political groups made announcements, and I also announced that I would come to 7 Tir Square and from 7 Tir would go towards the [American] Embassy. I had especially told the masses that, wherever subversive slogans were chanted, I would stop there so that people would not chant these slogans and those who do could be separated from me.

When we reached Hafte Tir, there were police there and they were treating people very violently. I stopped because I thought maybe they would rethink their actions and, because of my participation, at least allow me to cross through [their lines]. But to the contrary, they became more violent and even struck my guards with batons, injuring two of them. They even threw tear gas [at us] that was very strong and powerful which caused the masses to disperse, and some were facing suffocation. We got back in the vehicle and turned back, and on our way back we witnessed violence against women which was very cruel.

Why did this have to happen? These people were going to come and gather round the Embassy. Some would say “Death to America”, and some might have not said that and said something else like “Islamic Republic”, but we would have tried so that they wouldn’t chant subversive slogans.

But the question I have is more important and it is the dual policies of the Islamic Republic, "Dome Khoroos of Qasame Abbas" [a Persian proverb that illustrates the situation]. The Islamic Republic until recently was always striving to change its policy. They would congratulate and send letters [to America], which wouldn’t even receive replies but [the Iranians] would still try to continue the debate. I cannot read this statement here, so I invite my dear viewers and listeners to read it. It is a discussions by Mir Tajuddini, the representative of the people of Tabriz, and has been published after his trip [abroad] in an Iranian newspaper. He says that there was a meeting where around 50 important American personalities, including politicians, academics and reporters and analysts, met the President. "We were present in the meeting which lasted for over two hours and we had a good discussion."

I as a political participant say that, if such a meeting had been held in the past 20 years at any time during any Government, most certainly Kafanposhan [protesters who wear white cloth in which dead bodies are wrapped by Muslims before they are buried] would have come out to the streets in Qom, Tabriz, and Tehran especially, and they would have firmly fought against this. Now how is it so that when such meetings and discussions are now held, they bring about no complications and daily newspapers like Keyhan and others do not even discuss it and no one raises any objections? But now [on 13 Aban] what has really happened for all this renewed anti-American sentiment, anti-American slogans and Anti-American propaganda?

I neither say that such slogans should be chanted or should not be chanted. What I want to say is that the national interest of the people of Iran should not be exploited by us within the Government every day, based on our analyses which are kept secret and are not revealed to the public.

In one meeting, they sit with 50 Americans and have discussions about Iranian-American relations, Afghanistan, atomic energy, petroleum, and other issues, and then the next day they destroy everything [Karroubi speaks metaphorically --- the English phrase would be they "force things back to square one"]. I feel that these policies would create problems for the situation of our people, and it looks like the government is lost and does not know what to do. And I understand this to be my responsibility to clarify things even if they bring repercussions, for which I do not care. This dual policy is going to erode people’s trust and tomorrow, they will not believe our words. They should not.
Sunday
Nov082009

Iran Video: Mr Ahmadinejad Speaks with His Wonderful, Brightly-Coloured Charts

Latest Iran Video: Mehdi Karroubi on the 13 Aban Protests

The Latest from Iran (8 November): Challenge Renewing?

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To ease our disappointment at the non-appearance of President Ahmadinejad's Saturday night speech, cancelled so he could go to Turkey in his role of Leader of the Islamic World, we return to the national address that ensured his victory in the 12 June Presidential election.

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oKpRk1eS0CM[/youtube]

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Sunday
Nov082009

Iran: An Opposition Renewing, A Government in Trouble

Iran: Question for the Regime “What’s Your Next Punch?”
NEW Latest Iran Video: More from 13 Aban
Iran’s New 13 Aban: An Eyewitness Account “I Have Never Seen as Much Violence”
Iran: Josh Shahryar on the Significance of 13 Aban
The Latest from Iran (8 November): Challenge Renewing?


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Buy Us A Cup of Coffee? Help Enduring America Expand Its Coverage and Analysis



IRAN 4 NOV 7Yesterday we began with two tasks: 1) to see if the regime was really in disarray over its response to the latest challenges of 13 Aban, and 2) to watch for signs of the Green opposition's next move after the marches, given 48 hours of near-silence. Well, we are getting a response to the second question.

Former President Mohammad Khatami resurfaced with a strong statement challenging the legitimacy of the Government and later met Mehdi Karroubi. Today Mir Hossein Mousavi has appeared for the first time since 13 Aban, visiting --- like Khatami did on Friday --- Karroubi advisor Morteza Alviri, who was recently released from detention. Grand Ayatollah Montazeri has been interviewed again, criticising detainee abuses and questioning the legal basis of confessions.

Early in the crisis, an EA reader suggested that the Green movement was operating tactically with Mousavi as the political leader, Khatami as the respected figure making criticisms of the Government, and Karroubi as the charismatic cleric who could mobilise the energy of the opposition. Given the difficulties with communication and organisation, as well as the ongoing debate over the next moves of the movement (again, see the excellent discussion amongst our readers), that depiction is probably an aspiration rather than a coordinated approach.

Yet I sense that, far from sapping the strength of the movement, 13 Aban has renewed it. Part of that strength comes from anger at the violence and detentions of Wednesday. But at least part of it is coming from the belief that defeat will not come from the Government's heavy fist. The discussion about "What is to Done?" is being fuelled, I think, by the perception of the opposition that its fate now lies in its own hands, rather than the actions of a Khamenei, an Ahmadinejad, or the Revolutionary Guard.

And that is where Saturday's answer to our first question enters. To be blunt, the President did not address the nation Saturday night. He had not spoken, as initially promised, on the evening of 13 Aban (remember, he decided not to compete with the under-17 World Cup match between Iran and Uruguay). Now, after 24 hours of build-up,  he was stepping away from the podium again, allegedly because of a trip today to Turkey.

But, while Ahmadinejad silenced himself, the disputes continued. The Government is now in an internal fight over not only the nuclear talks but its approach to foreign policy: will engagement with the US be sacrificed, as it appears key conservatives/principlists and possibly the Supreme Leader want, to re-establish the supposed strength of the regime? Parliament is still causing some trouble over the economic programme, and the first signs of the consequences of subsidy reform --- a rise in bread prices --- emerged Saturday. The Revolutionary Guard seems to be in a continued distraction in the aftermath of the Baluchestan bombing.

All of which led to a curiosity of mixed signals yesterday on how to meet the opposition challenge. Having pursued mass detention on Wednesday, the Government appeared to be backing away on Saturday. While prosecutors and police chiefs could not give accurate figures on the number of those arrested, all their public statements points to a softening of position, with the declaration of releases of most of those detained.

And last night, almost unnoticed, confirmation came that two leading reformists, Ali Tajernia and Ebrahim Amini, had been released after months in detention. That overshadowed any announcement of the trials that were supposedly taking place in the Revolutionary Court on Saturday.

I'm now looking for the vapour trails from the President's flight to Ankara. If I don't see them, watch for another update. One that (very cautiously) considers that the President may be in the greatest spot of bother he has encountered since the end of June.
Sunday
Nov082009

Lebanon Breakthrough: Hariri and Hezbollah Agree on New Government

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large_flag_of_lebanonSince June, Lebanon's Prime Minister-designate Saad al-Hariri has not been able to form a national unity government due to Hezbollah's reservations. However, on Saturday, politicians from both camps confirmed that the Government is to be announced in the next two days.

Okab Sakr, who is close to Hariri, said, "The government is as good as formed. It's all about the final touches now and its formation will be completed this weekend." A Hezbollah statement confirmed, "Participants at the talks have agreed to forge ahead with the formation of the national unity government in accordance with the regulations that were agreed upon during the negotiations that had been conducted."

It is expected that the Cabinet will consist of 15 ministers from Hariri's coalition and 10 from the opposition, including two Hezbollah ministers and five ministers approved by President Michel Suleiman.
Sunday
Nov082009

Israel-Palestine Video: Obama & Peres on the Path to Peace

Palestine Video: 20 Years Later, Another Wall (Partially) Comes Down

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On the 14th anniversary of the murder of Israeli leader Yitzhak Rabin, President Barack Obama's video message was shown to Israelis gathered at Tel Aviv's Rabin Square.He underlined Washington's strong ties with Israel while stressing the importance of peace between Israelis and Palestinians:
America's bond with our Israeli allies is unbreakable and U.S. support for Israel's defense will never be undermined.

To all who seek peace I say tonight, you will always have a partner in the United States of America and in my administration. That's why we've been working aggressively for our clear goal, two states living side by side in peace and security.

Israelis will not find true security while the Palestinians are gripped by hopelessness and despair.

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lnt8qx8XoIM[/youtube]

Then Israeli President Shimon Peres addressed the crowd:


You, here tonight, don't leave any stone unturned so that next year we will be able to reconvene here, on the 15th anniversary of the murder, and say 'we did it, we realized our dream and Yitzhak's last will and testament.

It is better to have imperfect peace, than a perfect war with no end.

And the path to that imperfect peace? Peres called on Palestinian Authority leader Mahmoud Abbas to stay in office:
We both signed the Oslo accords, and I turn to you as a colleague and ask that you don't let go.

I know that you toiled for the sake of your people for 50 years. Toil that was accompanied by many disappointments and frustrations. But knowing my people and Israel's government I can tell you that Israel wants true peace, not make-believe. A close peace, not peace from a distance. Therefore, it stands to reason that your 51st year will bring independence to the Palestinian people and peace to the State of Israel. The next year could be a turning point.