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« Transcripts: Money to Palestine, Economic Pressure on Israel? | Main | Iran: How the "New Media" Tore Down the Gates of the "Mainstream" »
Friday
Jul242009

The Latest from Iran (24 July): Waiting for the Next Move

NEW Iran: How the "New Media" Tore Down the Gates of the "Mainstream"
Iran: A Clerical Front Against the Supreme Leader?
The Latest from Iran (23 July): Preparing the Front

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AHMADINEJAD KHAMENEI
2055 GMT: Associated Press now has the Rahim-Mashai story. It quotes Presidential assistant Hashemi via the Islamic Republic News Agency: ""After the announcement of the exalted supreme leader's order, Mashai doesn't consider himself first vice president."

2030 GMT: Coincidence of the Day. When the news arrived at Enduring America, via a reader, that Vice President Rahim-Mashai had resigned, I was working on another entry. The title? "Iran: How the 'New Media' Tore Down the Gates of the 'Mainstream'".

The story arrived at EA at 1931 GMT. We verified and posted at 2000 GMT. As of now, no mainstream media outside Iran have noticed the story.

2010 GMT: From the Fars story on Rahim-Mashai resignation: The senior assistant to President Ahmadinejad, Seyed Mojtaba Hashemi Tamreh, answering a question from a Fars reporter over the Supreme Leader's letter demanding the withdrawal of Rahim-Mashai's appointment, said that the First Vice President had resigned.

2000 GMT: URGENT NEWS FLASH --- Fars News Agency is reporting that First Vice President Esfandiar Rahim-Mashai has resigned.

1840 GMT: Now the "Conservative" Students Turn Against Ahmadinejad. The "Student Movement for Justice and Equality" has announced that, if First Vice President Rahim-Mashai is not removed by Sunday, they will have a protest sit-in in Pasteur Square. They will do so on behalf of the 24 million people who voted for the President and in defense of the rule of the Constitution and Velayet-e-Faqih (clerical authority).

1825 GMT: Another Air Tragedy. An Arbatour flight from Tehran crashed when trying to land at Mashaad in eastern Iran, apparently because of malfunctioning landing gear. The death toll is currently estimated at between 20 and 30 out of the 160 passengers and crew. The plane, like the one that crashed recently just outside Tehran killing 168 people, was Russian-made.

1800 GMT: Another "Conservative" Critic of the Government. The Mayor of Tehran, Mohammad-Baqer Qalibaf, has joined the chorus calling on the President to get rid of his First Vice President, Esfandiar Rahim-Mashai. The statement is blunt: Rahim-Mashai and his wife are both "hypocrites".

1700 GMT: Fars News has released the text of the Supreme Leader's demand that President Ahmadinejad revoke the appointment of his First Vice President, Esfandiar Rahim-Mashai. The two-sentence letter says that Rahim-Mashai has spoken "against the interests of the Government" and caused frustration and differences.

There are reports that IRIB state television has broadcast the text.

1500 GMT: Update on Son Killed, Father Detained. Yesterday we wrote about the case of 27-year-old Masoud Hashemzadeh, killed on 20 June by a single gunshot. Iranian authorities refused the family's request for a mourning ceremony, and security forces subsequently raided the house.

Reports have now come in that Hashemzadeh's father, detained in the raid, has been released on bail.

1430 GMT: Fighting Back. Ayatollah Ahmed Khatami used his leadership of Friday prayers in Tehran to strike at former President Rafsanjani and, possibly, the clerics challenging the legitimacy of the Government and the Supreme Leader's position.

Khatami declared, "We know of some insulting private meetings. We know about the plots against the leader but you (who hold these meetings) should know that you will not be able to stand against the people. Our people will defend the leader until the last drop of their blood."

Khatami's address should be considered in conjunction with yesterday's letter, issued by "conservative" members of the Assembly of Experts, seeking to reinforce Ayatollah Khamenei and undermine Rafsanjani. Conversely, I am now watching for the response of senior clerics, whether individually or as a bloc, who are criticising Ahmadinejad.

1000 GMT: A quick note about a new video resource. An Iranian activist has uploaded hundreds of clips on post-election events to a YouTube channel.

0715 GMT: Mowj-e-Sabz is reporting that the son of Dr Abdolhossein Ruhol Amini, one of the top consultants to Presidential candidate Mohsen Rezaei, has died in Evin Prison. The family were informed via phone on Tuesday of the death of Mohsen Ruhol Amini, who was arrested during the 18 Tir protests on 9 July.

0650 GMT: More on "Foreign Forces". Just after I posted the entry below on BBC Persian's footage of a Hezbollah member amongst plainsclothes Iranian security forces, a reader pointed me to the video testimony of Ali Zare, a photographer for the Iranian newspaper Hamshahri who was detained amidst protests in Enqelab Square: "Somebody came to me and said, 'Please come with us.' He was Iranian but the other two persons who arrested me, they are from Lebanon."

Zare also says that, during questioning, he was threatened with a knife and with electricity. Still, he laughs about the comment of one interrogator: "Don't move. I want to cut your finger artistically because you are an artist and you need to have a nice finger."

0640 GMT: The First Wave of the Political Front? Following Mir Hossein Mousavi's statement that he will not stop protesting until all detainees are released, his advisor has reportedly said that the committee on the situation of those arrested will start work on Saturday. It is a shrewd political as well as humanitarian move: the detention issue is one that can be used without pause against the Government, uniting the various factions in the Green Movement.

0615 GMT: One of the most provocative rumours, amidst the demonstrations after the elections, was that the Iranian Government was using "foreign fighters", especially from Lebanon's Hezbollah, against the protests.

BBC Persian follows up the story, claiming that footage of a raid of Mousavi headquarters by Government plainclothes officers includes a prominent member of Lebanese Hezbollah. The broadcaster adds, however, that this is the only known case of participation by a Hezbollah member, so it is not known whether this is an isolated incident or part of a wider pattern.

0530 GMT: Most of the news this morning is catching up with a flurry of events yesterday, including the spate of clerical fatwas challenging the Government and the divisions within the Ahmadinejad camp.

Mir Hossein Mousavi's Facebook page prints an English translation of the fatwa of Ayatollah Bayat-Zanjan (pictured), issued in response to a follower's question: "Does the Supreme Leader’s confirmation return the legitimacy to the tenth administration and the president?" The answer is even blunter than we reported on Thursday:
If someone finds confidence that the mentioned individual has come to power by illegitimate means and by forgery, his confirmation by the Supreme Leader as the president and the completion of the inauguration ceremony will not legitimize him.

Ansar News offers a new version of the heated argument in the Presidential Cabinet over Ahmadinejad's insistence on the First Vice President, Esfandiari Rahim-Mashai. According to the report, when ministers asked the President to explain his decision, he left the room and put Rahim-Mashai in charge of the meeting. This in turn angered three ministers, who walked out in protest.

Opposition leaders were fairly quiet on Thursday. The most prominent statement came from Zahra Rahnavard, the wife of Mir Hossein Mousavi, who confirmed the detention of her brother soon after the 12 June election: “The government can fabricate as many lies as it wants to, but the people of Iran will never believe any of the allegations against my detained brother. My brother is only one amongst many other Iranian brothers and sisters who have been imprisoned – this is why I have not given his name to the media.”

Reader Comments (10)

Arabiya TV is reporting that Ayatollahs Musbah Yazdi, Yazdi, and Jannati are vowing to "get rid of Rafsandjani, once and for all," as head of the Assembly of Experts. It's not sourced, so does anyone know where the story came from?
Edward Yeranian

July 24, 2009 | Unregistered CommenterEdward Yeranian

Edward,

It's based on a single-sourced story in Asharq al-Awsat. See our separate entry, "Iran: A Clerical Front Against the Supreme Leader?".

Please let us know if we have translated the gist of the story correctly.

S.

July 24, 2009 | Unregistered CommenterScott Lucas

Scott -
A couple of YouTube videos claim to have captured regime forces (plainclothes) speaking in Arabic.

July 24, 2009 | Unregistered CommenterTsu Dho Nimh

Zahra Rahnavard's statement about her brother shows great courage and a big heart. She is in a position to attempt to leverage his release but instead she chooses to use her influence on behalf of all who are imprisoned.

July 24, 2009 | Unregistered CommenterAmy

Edward,

Please forgive my earlier, erroneous reply which gave the other side of the story (the clerics supporting Rafsanjani and the move against the Supreme Leader). The correct answer should have been this from our 0845 GMT update on 23 July:

"Meanwhile, Another Fight in the Assembly of Experts. Conservative members such as Ayatollahs Mohammad Yazdi, Jannati, and Mesbah Yazdi have released a statement reminding the public of their obligation to the Supreme Leader. More importantly, at least for the short-term political struggle, they restate that members are trying to replace Rafsanjani from his position as head of the Assembly.

The statement, aired by Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting, has been issued in the name of all 86 members of the Assembly, even though it has only been signed by only 16."

There is a hyperlink in the entry which will take you to the blog that broke the news.

Scott

July 24, 2009 | Unregistered CommenterScott Lucas

Scott,
Thanks for scouting that out. I guess the fact that only 16 members signed the statement is a pretty good barometer of which side has more votes. One more dumb question: when you say Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting, is it fair to assume that this would have been carried on the Iranian News Network (IRINN)? I'm not quite clear if they broadcast the same material as the IRIB 1 and 2 which are also on the satellite. I still haven't figured out what time those stations have newscasts, alas.
Edward

July 24, 2009 | Unregistered CommenterEdward Yeranian

Edward,

There are some differences of shading between IRIB and other state media outlets, but it is likely that IRINN would have same general content/line of analysis.

For me, the Yazdi-Yazdi-Jannati statement is one salvo in a battle. Ahmad Khatami's address from the Friday prayer platform is another. Question now: how much effect will these have on Rafsanjani and senior clerics?

S.

July 24, 2009 | Unregistered CommenterScott Lucas

@Amy #4- Yes! I thought the same thing, though you stated much better than I could. As a feminist ;), I am constantly awed by courage and strength of Iran's women.

July 24, 2009 | Unregistered CommenterLisa

[...] Der Revolutionsführer wartet immer noch auf eine Antwort 24. Juli 2009 — Oliver M. Piecha Erneut ist ein Protest gegen Ahmedinejads neuen Vizepräsidenten angekündigt. Und erneut sind es Ahmedinejads eigen Leute, die demonstrien wollen: Das “Student Movement for Justice and Equality” has announced that, if First Vice President Rahim-Mashai is not removed by Sunday, they will have a protest sit-in in Pasteur Square. They will do so on behalf of the 24 million people who voted for the President and in defense of the rule of the Constitution and Velayet-e-Faqih (clerical authority). Der Bürgermeister von Teheran hat sich zudem mit der Einschätzung zu Wort gemeldet, der neue Vizepräsident und seine Frau seien “Heuchler”. via enduring america [...]

The situation is really sickening, I have not seen a person as stubborn as A'd. His move to pick Mashaee as VP was a show of power for him. he wanted to show the people he can do anything and they can do nothing about it, such a void show; I'm really sorry for him.

July 25, 2009 | Unregistered Commenterm.

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