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Entries in The Observer (2)

Wednesday
Mar252009

Mr Obama's War? Waiting for the US Strategy on Afghanistan and Pakistan

Related Post: Afghanistan - Former Taliban Ready for Talks with US

obama4So what is the Obama Administration's new approach to American intervention in Afghanistan and Pakistan?

Really. What is it?

Administration officials had set up the media this week for a dramatic re-launch of the US strategy, based on a series of reports for the President. The latest study, headed by Obama campaign advisor and former CIA officer Bruce Riedel, was on Obama's desk on Monday. US envoy Richard Holbrooke was holding forth for the media and briefing NATO members; less publicly, CIA Director Leon Panetta was visiting Pakistan. The President was telling 60 Minutes on Sunday night, "What we're looking for is a comprehensive strategy. And there's gotta be an exit strategy."

This spinning, however, does not add up to a new approach. For Afghanistan, there is still no detail on US troop levels, American non-military programmes, the contributions from Washington's allies. And for Pakistan, which Obama's people are now putting as Number One Crisis, there is no sense of how the expansion of missile strikes and covert operations matches up to a political approach, either towards the "sanctuaries" in the Northwest Frontier Provinces or towards the central Government in Islamabad.

What we have gotten instead from the US is vacuous cheerleading posing as "analysis". Jim Hoagland on The Washington Post wrote a love letter to "Gen. David Petraeus and diplomat Richard Holbrooke [who] are as smart as they come". Even worse, commentators like Jackson Diehl of The Washington Post and David Brooks of The New York Times have been treated to a Grand Tour of US bases in Afghanistan so they can parrot the words of American military commanders, "Over time this will work -- it has worked over and over again through history" (Diehl) and "When you put more boots on the ground, you not only augment your army’s firing power, you give it the capacity to experiment". (Brooks)

This puffery should be set aside for the leaked ideas coming out in British newspapers. The outgoing US ambassador in Afghanistan, William Wood, tells The Observer that "America would be prepared to discuss the establishment of a political party, or even election candidates representing the Taliban, as part of a political strategy that would sit alongside reinforced military efforts". The Times writes of an American approach linking economic aid, a build-up of Afghan security forces and police, and a crack-down on heroin production.

Most striking, sources tell The Guardian, "The US and its European allies are ­preparing to plant a high-profile figure in the heart of the Kabul government in a direct challenge to the Afghan president." Expecting that President Hamid Karzai will win re-election in August, despite its best efforts to build up a rival candidate, the US will insist on a "Chief Executive" or "Prime Minister".

The US strategy on Afghanistan and Pakistan --- really, what is it?
Sunday
Mar012009

Gaza: Olmert Rejected Hamas Overtures To Avert War

olmert1The Observer of London reveals today that Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert (pictured) rejected a Hamas approach for secret talks before the Gaza War in December.

The go-between for Hamas' messages to Tel Aviv from 2006 to 2008 was Israeli peace activist Gershon Baskin, who contacted senior Israeli officials and communicated with Prime Minister via a member of Olmert's family. Hamas said it was prepared to discuss not only conditions for an extended cease-fire and opening of border crossings but also the release of kidnapped Israeli soldier Gilad Shalit.

Baskin said he was involved in three attempts to establish talks since Shalit's capture in 2006. Olmert's office rejected the first approach immediately, saying it was not prepared to negotiate with terrorists. Hamas blocked the second, rejecting any discussion of Shalit that was not linked to an end to the Israeli siege of Gaza.

And the third time? Baskin was told by the Olmert family member that he would "need to find another messenger". In Baskin's view, "At this point war had already been decided on."