Iran Election Guide

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Sunday
Aug292010

Iran: Ahmadinejad Attacks Rafsanjani & "Corrupt" Foes; "Overthrowers Have Not Been Punished Yet" (Kamdar)

Writing for Rooz Online, Nazanin Kamdar draws from Iranian newspapers to report on the continuing tension within the Iranian political system, with the President lashing out and threatening others:

In his speech [this week], Mahmoud Ahmadinejad implicitly referred to Hashemi Rafsanjani and Nategh-Nouri as “corrupt” politicians and announced that “overthrowers have not been punished yet”. Overthrowers is the term he uses for the leaders of the reform movement in Iran. Ahmadinejad made these remarks to a small group of people at an event that was boycotted by even right-wing and military groups because of the “engineered invitation from Mashai,” a reference to Ahmadinejad’s senior trusted advisor [Chief of Staff Esfandiar Rahim-Mashai]. Nevertheless, the administration’s official news agency described the meeting as an “intimate gathering between the president and various student groups.”

At the meeting, Ahmadinejad spoke about events leading up to the election: “I revealed the names of corrupt politicians in the debates,” he said. In the nationally televised presidential debates in 2009 incumbent Ahmadinejad mentioned Hashemi Rafsanjani and Nategh Nouri in his debate with Mir Hossein Mousavi, a gesture that was criticized even by Ayatollah Khamenei at the famous June 19, 2009 Friday Prayers.

According to Jahan News, Ahmadinejad commented on his decision to show Zahra Rahnavard’s picture by saying, “Some people told me that showing a woman’s picture was an act of haraam [religiously forbidden], but what I showed was just a photocopy of her identification papers and didn’t show anything in particular.”

Raja News quoted Ahmadinejad as saying, “While the conspirators continue their activities, some people think that they are finished and they must attack the administration.and can’t find a wall shorter than Ahmadinejad’s wall.”

Without naming Rafsanjani by name, Ahmadinejad said, “The fight against corruption has not ended. The thieves and overthrowers have not been punished and are active. So if we don’t act in time, the conspiracies will overcome us. Thus it is imperative that we move on ahead to make ourselves immune from the reach of conspiracies. The important issue is not to build an empire when we attain power, even though unfortunately this was done again in the ninth administration.”

He added, “Some people played in the enemy’s field without paying attention to the country’s most pressing issues. Today, the biggest overhaul in our country’s economic and cultural underpinnings is taking place; the fundamentals are changing and a true revolution is happening in our culture. As such, peripheral issues cannot overshadow the main issues….The real battlefield in the world is over global supremacy and globalization. Today, Iran supports globalization more strongly than Westerners.”

According to unpublished reports on online media portals affiliated with the conservative camp, Ahmadinejad’s latest meeting with a group of “students” was not free from controversies. The controversies relate to the infighting in the conservative camp over Mashai, which Mir-Hossein Mousavi has referred to as a “war of words” .

Jahan News explained some of the behind-the-scenes controversies that led to the meeting’s boycott by some government factions: “Prior to the meeting, the person that contacted students to invite them to the meeting was the former manager of the website Nowsazi and editor-in-chief of Hemmat magazine. It must be noted that this is the first time that students are invited via telephone and unofficially. This person also played a key role in managing the president’s interactions with journalists.”

Hemmat magazine (short for Tactical Nuclei of Resistance) was an extremist magazine supporting Ahmadinejad which unleashed massive attacks on Hashemi Rafsanjani in two back-to-back issues last year but was immediately suspended on Ayatollah Khamenei’s orders. The magazine’s editor-in-chief, Ali Sinaian, was also summoned to court following the suspension.
Sunday
Aug292010

UPDATED Iran: Tehran Declares Readiness for Nuclear Talks?

UPDATE 29 August: A flurry of comments out of Tehran today on the uranium enrichment discussions indicate Iran may be opening the door for direct talks with Washington and other countries....

Speaker of Parliament Ali Larijani --- in a shift from his comments last Sunday that Iran would negotiate with anyone in the world except the US --- has said that the country has never ruled out talks with the 5+1 Powers (US, Britain, France, Russia, China, Germany) or the Vienna Group (the US, Russia, France, and the International Atomic Energy Agency).

Larijani insisted, "We have never ruled out talks, but sometime they left the table and showed misconduct," presumably a reference to the breakdown of discussions after Iran met the 5+1 in Geneva last October.

Foreign Ministry spokesman Ramin Mehmanparast also said Tehran is ready for discussions: "We have expressed our readiness for talks with Vienna Group and we believe the way is paved for talks to start: Talks can be started sooner if they specify details and we reach an agreement on place and date of the negotiations."

However, Mehmanparast added comments that muddled the apparent openness to talks:

If the US seriously seeks to revive relations with Iran, it should make changes in its attitude. Washington should prove that it will never repeat previous mistakes and will not pursue misguided and hostile policies towards the Iranian nation. We should sense a maturity in remarks and attitude of US officials and they should accept that rights of nations must be respected....There is no reason to prepare the grounds for establishing relations at the time the US attacks other countries, violates rights of nations and sees its interests in war and massacre....Such conduct will not work toward a country like Iran.



Iranian media are highlighting Thursday's statement by US State Department spokesman P J Crowley,
"We are hopeful that the constructive meetings, both at the IAEA and with the P5+1, can be set up in the next few weeks."


---
ORIGINAL STORY (27 August): EA staff have been in the midst of a debate over Iran's approach to uranium enrichment talks with the US as part of the "5+1" (US, UK, France, Germany, China, Russia). After a series of statements last week by Iranian officials, including the Supreme Leader, the President, and Speaker of Parliament Ali Larijani, the central question has been: is there a unified voice coming out of Tehran on whether Iran will pursue discussions and, if so, will there be any pre-conditions?

Yesterday, we noted the latest public statement, in which Iran's head of atomic energy proposed a joint consortium with Russia for fuel for the Bushehr nuclear reactor, and we looked to wider significance:
The presentation is that Iran is a responsible, low-enriching state, working under the supervision of the International Atomic Energy Agency and with the help of Russia. In essence, it is a proposal to the Western powers of what a nuclear Iran would look like if sanctions were eased and/or concessions were made.

Salehi’s statement is therefore much more than a proposed arrangement for Bushehr and other plants. It is a challenge to Russia to endorse this vision of Iran’s nuclear future, giving Moscow the opportunity to serve as a broker between Iran and the West.

An EA correspondent advances the discussion this morning:
Ayatollah Khamenei has a range of people who have his ear and whose opinion he is willing to listen to. He hears them all, makes his assessments, sees what they have to offer.

Here we have Salehi with his pragmatic, nuclear technician's world view. If the West can come to terms with that, Khamenei would then appraise the relative benefits of making an approach, judging the extent to which he sees Iran's interests being served. Once he makes a decision, he can bring in political capital to bear ensure it is accepted.

The Supreme Leader is not omnipotent. Instead, his political calculations must use the instincts, knowledge and experience, which he has gained in more than 20 years in power-broking, in order to manage the different and conflicting power centres in Iran with the ultimate aim of maintaining his central position. That is something which he has been pretty successful at so far.

Of course, the divisions within the conservative establishment are in contrast with the entirely mythological paradigm of political unity, which did not even hold during the Khomeini period. The different threads running through the fabric of the conservatives should be seen as threads that Khamenei can pull --- or refuse to pull --- depending on how he reads the situation. In that sense his title of "rahbar" can be read in the sense of "conductor", as in the conductor of an orchestra.

This time last year Ahmadinejad appeared eager for talks and the rest of the conservatives shot him down. At that time Khamenei either allowed this to happen a) because he had a better idea or b) because he actually desired that the President receive a put down or c) he could not risk preventing it because of the high cost in political capital or d) a bit of all of the above.

This year I think we can see clearly that he is calling for a ceasefire in the intra-conservative in-fighting before the international dimension is re-opened

So I didn't read Khamenei's speech of 18 August in the way that Scott Lucas read it [as a rejection of discussions with the US in the near-future]. I think it was quite natural that Khamenei refrain from expend valuable political capital at this point by appearing conducive to talks. In this critical situation, it is logical for him to hold himself above the fray and fall back on familiar rhetorical ground. He can play "hard to get" while allowing his carefully vetted ambassadors to act as intermediaries.

We probably should not read too much into what Khamenei says on the international issue at the moment. The domestic scene on the other hand, that's a different story....
Sunday
Aug292010

US Special: America's Legacy of Torture

On Thursday, The New York Times published the editorial "A Legacy of Torture":

The Bush administration insisted that “enhanced interrogation techniques” — torture — were necessary to extract information from prisoners and keep Americans safe from terrorist attacks. Never mind that it was immoral, did huge damage to this country’s global standing and produced little important intelligence. Now, as we had feared, it is also making it much harder to try and convict accused terrorists.

The editorial continued:
Because federal judges cannot trust the confessions of prisoners obtained by intense coercion, they are regularly throwing out the government’s cases against Guantánamo Bay prisoners.

A new report prepared jointly by ProPublica and the National Law Journal showed that the government has lost more than half the cases where Guantánamo prisoners have challenged their detention because they were forcibly interrogated. In some cases the physical coercion was applied by foreign agents working at the behest of the United States; in other cases it was by United States agents.

Even in cases where the government later went back and tried to obtain confessions using “clean,” non-coercive methods, judges are saying those confessions too are tainted by the earlier forcible methods. In most cases, the prisoners have not actually walked free because the government is appealing the decisions. But the trend suggests that the government will continue to have a hard time proving its case even against those prisoners who should be detained.

Credit to the Times for not sheltering Torture within quotation marks and instead noting how the Bush Administration tried to hide it with the euphemism "enhanced interrogation". Credit for calling out the rationalisation/deception that it had produced significant intelligence and for mentioning that this was a moral transgression.

But this is an article that could and should have been written years ago. The legal complications were clear soon after the Guantanamo Bay detention facility was opened in 2002, after the "rendition" of detainees not only to Guantanamo but to "black sites" in countries in the Middle East and Eastern Europe was exposed (but often gingerly set aside), and after techniques such as waterboarding were revealed.

Even the specific information in the ProPublica study is not new. Andy Worthington, who has worked tirelessly for years to bring out the details on Guatanamo's legal minefield, has been keeping a running tally of the habeas corpus cases where prisoners were petitioning for their freedom. Latest score: Prisoners 38, US Government 15.

And the twists and turns of interrogation, torture, and trials are far from complete. Charlie Savage wrote in The New York Times this week:
After working for a year to redeem the international reputation of military commissions, Obama administration officials are alarmed by the first case to go to trial under revamped rules: the prosecution of a former child soldier whom an American interrogator implicitly threatened with gang rape.

The defendant, Omar Khadr, was 15 when he was captured in Afghanistan and accused of throwing a grenade that killed an American soldier. Senior officials say his trial is undermining their broader effort to showcase reforms that they say have made military commissions fair and just....

Senior officials at the White House, the Justice Department and the Pentagon have agreed privately that it would be better to reach a plea bargain in the Khadr case so that a less problematic one would be the inaugural trial, according to interviews with more than a dozen current and former officials. But the administration has not pushed to do so because officials fear, for legal and political reasons, that it would be seen as improper interference.

Mr. Khadr’s trial at the naval base in Guantánamo Bay started earlier in August but was put on a month-long hiatus because a lawyer got sick and collapsed in court. The pause has allowed the administration to consider the negative images the trial has already generated.

Chief among them are persistent questions about the propriety of prosecuting a child soldier. Moreover, in a blow to establishing an image of openness, the Pentagon sought to ban journalists who wrote about publicly known information that it decreed should be treated as secret.

The judge declined to suppress statements Mr. Khadr made after an Army interrogator sought to frighten him with a fabricated story about an Afghan youth who disappointed interrogators and was sent to an American prison where he died after a gang rape. In a pretrial hearing, the interrogator confirmed making that implicit threat, but the judge ruled it did not taint Mr. Khadr’s later confessions.

And prosecutors disqualified an officer from the jury because he said he agreed with President Obama that Guantánamo had compromised America’s values and international reputation.

So let's return to the "Legacy of Torture". While The New York Times should be credited for joining the recognition of the Bush Administration's wrongs --- which they got away with for so long in part because the media sometimes supported, often blinded itself to "enhanced interrogation" --- I can't help thinking that even this has a problem with priorities.

Certainly the failure to convict detainees is an outcome of the torture regime that began in 2002. But there are other outcomes that might be placed before, rather than after, this. In an editorial considering the "legal", perhaps the newspaper could have said that the Bush torture was --- beyond any doubt --- illegal.

And perhaps it could have put the "immoral" at the top of the list, especially because the "immoral" of this story has not been remedied and will not be remedied simply by bemoaning a Not Guilty verdict for someone who has spent years behind American bars.
Sunday
Aug292010

Iran: An Ayatollah's "Larijani is a Jew" Declaration

Here's a story you're unlikely to have heard this week....

A few days ago we learned of an audio recording, reportedly of Ayataollah Mohammad Baqer Kharrazi, the head of the Ansar-e Hezbollah (Party of God), a semi-official, paramilitary group formed in 1995. We were not sure of the story, which finally appeared on a Green website, but we put the recording before trusted correspondents, who said it sounded authentic.

Kharrazi's speech was concerned with the attempts by Zionists to take over Iran, as he asserted that Israelis control food and clothing industries within all Islamic states. Getting specific, he claimed infiltration of Zionists into the higher ranks of Iranian politics. Some of the suspects might seem surprising: for example, Kharrazi identified the "British wife" of an official close to the Supreme Leader. (This is appraently Mohammadi Golpayegani, the chief of Ayatollah Khamenei's office.)

And then this: Kharrazi asked why Iranians should trust "a citizen of the village Larijan".

Now, on first glance, that criticism seems a bit petty. Larijan, a district in Mazandaran in northern Iran, does not strike one as a likely centre for Zionist activity. In fact, it would probably go unnoticed except for this little fact that it is the home of the Larijani clan.

Ah, yes. That would include Speaker of Parliament Ali Larijani, the head of Iran's judiciary, Sadegh Larijani, and high-ranking judiciary official Mohammad Javad Larijani.

Now it's not unknown for someone to seize headlines by claiming that a prominent politician is a secret member of a disliked/distrusted religion (hmm, what about this current example from the US?). So Kharrazi's outburst could be treated as our weekend diversion.

Except it does not that he or Ansar-e Hezbollah are insignificant. The organisation is suspected of involvement in some unsavoury episodes in Iran's recent past, including the "Chain Murders" of the late 1990s, and it is a presence on Iranian streets. Kharrazi is also far from unconnected: his daughter is married to Massoud Khamenei, the son of the Supreme Leader.

And the words beyond the identification of the Larijanis and other Zionist infiltrators indicate that Kharrazi is looking for a political fight. He says that no one "takes care" of this Israeli insurgents and that he is gathering "documents" for publication: "We will take our Hizbollah forces to the streets against them....[Our[ problems will be solved, when we 'have solved' the problem of Bani Israelis in Muslim countries."
Sunday
Aug292010

China This Week: China-Japan Economic Dialogue; Move on North Korea Talks; Partnership with South Africa and Vietnam

Third China-Japan Economic Dialogue: Chinese Vice Premier Wang Qishan said Saturday that bilateral trade between China and Japan has recovered and exceeded the level before the global financial crisis.

Wang made the remarks at the opening of the third China-Japan high-level economic dialogue, which he chaired with Japanese Foreign Minister Okada Katsuya.

The two countries had maintained sound cooperation in energy-saving, environment protection, food safety, product quality and the construction of China-Japan-ROK Free Trade Area, Wang said.

China, South Africa “Strategic Partnership”: President Hu Jintao and his South African counterpart Jacob Zuma on Tuesday raised bilateral ties to a "comprehensive strategic partnership", opening more avenues to expand trade and strengthen relations between Beijing and the largest African economy.

In the Beijing Declarationthe two sides based a comprehensive strategic partnership  on equality, mutual benefit, and common development. They agreed to provide mutual technical support in the areas of the green economy, skills development, and industrial financing.

Chinese, S Korean Nuclear Envoys Meet: China's special representative for Korean Peninsula affairs Wu Dawei on Thursday met with South Korea's top nuclear envoy Wi Sung-lac for talks on restarting the long- stalled six-party discussions on denuclearisation of the Korean Peninsula.

Wu visited North Korea from 16 to 18 August, meeting Foreign Minister Pak Ui Chun and Vice Foreign Ministers Kim Kye-gwan and Kim Song Gi.

Beijing hosts the multilateral talks that include both Koreas, the US, Japan, and Russia. Pyongyang unilaterally pulled out of the discussions in April 2009.

China Aid to Flood-hit Pakistan: More relief supplies, worth 20 million yuan ($2.94 million), have been sent from China to flood-hit Pakistan, the Ministry of Commerce said in a statement Wednesday.

China was one of the first countries to respond delivering 10 million yuan on 4  August. Beijing indicated it will offer an additional 60 million yuan of supplies to Pakistan, Ministry of Commerce official Chong Quan announced while meeting with Masood Khan, Pakistani ambassador to China.

Chinese Defense Minister meets Greek Air Force Chief: Chinese Defense Minister Liang Guanglie on Monday met with Vasileios Klokozas, chief of the General Staff of the Greek Air Force, as the two sides pledged to boost military exchange and cooperation.

Vietnam, China Vow to Enhance Trade: Vietnamese Minister of Industry and Trade Vu Huy Hoang and Chinese Minister of Commerce Chen Deming and China declared Monday that the two countries would enhance trade and investment cooperation

Hoang asked China to encourage more imports and to create favorable conditions for Vietnamese companies. He also encouraged big Chinese firms to invest in Vietnam. Chen offered agreement and said Beijing will help Vietnam in training officials,

Trade between Vietnam and China was more than $20 billion in 2009 and has exceeded $13 billion in the first seven months this year.

Vietnam welcomes China's Military Development: Vice Defense Minister Nguyen Chi Vinh said Wednesday Vietnam welcomes China's military developmentThe Chinese military can contribute to disaster relief efforts in the region, he said.

Vinh is in Beijing for consultations with Chinese defense ministry officials ahead of the first ASEAN Defense Ministers' Meeting Plus to be held in the Vietnamese capital Hanoi  in October.

China, Japan Support Climate Talks: China and Japan are willing to push forward international climate change talks, said Zhang Ping, minister of the National Development and Reform Commission, on the sidelines of the third China-Japan high-level economic dialogue.

He said China and Japan regard energy-saving and environmental protection as important areas, linked to the growth of economic cooperation between both countries.

The two countries agreed to hold the fifth China-Japan forum on energy-saving and environmental protection in late October in Tokyo to promote green economy and cooperation on low-carbon technologies.

Enquiry into Deadly Plane Crash: Chinese Vice Premier Zhang Dejiang has ordered a thorough probe into Tuesday night's plane crash in Northeast China's Heilongjiang province.

At least 42 people died while 54 others survived when the Brazilian-made Embraer E-190 jet crashed as it approached Lindu Airport in Yichun city.

Amendments to Hong Kong's Basic Law: China's top legislature on Saturday approved an amendment to the Basic Law of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region regarding the method of selecting Hong Kong's Chief Executive.

Hong Kong, Philippines to Exchange Hostage Probe Info: Hong Kong Police will investigate the deaths of Hong Kong tourists slain in Monday's hostage tragedy in Manila and will exchange information with the Philippine authorities through Interpol when necessary, Under Secretary for Security Lai Tung-kwok said Saturday.

Hong Kong has sent two Police officers to Manila to assist in the investigation, and Lai said more officers will be sent if necessary.

Deaths Up in Industrial Accidents: The death toll from major industrial accidents jumped 50 percent in the first seven months of this year, the State Administration of Work Safety said on Friday.

From January to July, 53 major incidents in the country killed 904 people. In a hot and rain-plagued August, there have been 13 major incidents and 210 people killed or missing.

The accidents included the deadly explosion in a firecracker factory and this week's plane crash that ended Chinese civil aviation's 2,000-plus days of flight safety. Both incidents occurred in Yichun City in northeast China's Heilongjiang province.

China's Crackdown on Illegal Labour Export: Chinese authorities are intensifying their crackdown on the illegal outsourcing of labour in a bid to protect the legal rights of overseas workers.

The Ministry of Commerce and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued an emergency circular prohibiting illegal labuor agencies from dispatching labourers abroad.

The circular also bans the subcontracting of overseas labour service by domestic contract engineering firms.

China has been exporting labourers as fishermen, construction workers, or farmhands. More than 340,000 Chinese people worked abroad in 2009, according to statistics from the Ministry of Commerce.

China to Spend Millions on Disaster Prevention: China plans to spend 2.23 billion yuan ($328 million) to improve disaster prevention systems in a mountainous northwest China town devastated by a landslide earlier this month.

The plan is scheduled to be carried out in three phases from 2010 to 2012..

China Green Belt to stop Deserts merging: China has started an ambitious project to plant a green belt between the country's third and fourth largest deserts to stop them converging, said Wang Xiaodong, a forestry official in northern Inner Mongolia autonomous region.

"It is the first time in China that a green belt is being planted between two deserts. The project is expected to take five years to plant a 202-km (125 miles) long and 5 to 15-km wide stripe of vegetation between Badain Jaran Desert and Tengger Desert," said Wang.
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