The Latest from Iran (19 May): Fallout

2035 GMT: The Uranium Sideshow. President Obama issued a boiler-plate, stay-the-course statement at a press conference alongside President Felipe Calderon of Mexico (which happens to have a non-permanent seat on the UN Security Council):

"[We agree] on the need for Iran to uphold its international obligations or face increased sanctions and pressure, including UN sanctions. And I'm pleased that we've reached an agreement with our P5-plus-1 partners on a strong resolution that we now have shared with our Security Council partners.

Obama did not mention, for he was not asked, why he had encouraged Turkey to pursue talks with Iran leading to the uranium swap agreement in Tehran on Monday.

1845 GMT:Political Prisoner Watch. Housewife Masoumeh Yavari has been given a seven-year jail term at Rajai-Shahr Prison in Karaj. Yavari had been accused of "mohareb" (war against God), and the prosecutor had asked for the death penalty.

Zahra Jabbari, married and the mother of one child, has been sentenced to 4 years in prison. Jabbari was arrested during Qods Day protests on 18 September.

Student Activist Mohammad Yousef Rashidi has been handed a one-year jail term.

NEW Iran’s Uranium: Why Can’t the US Take Yes for an Answer? (Parsi)
NEW Iran’s Uranium: Washington “Can’t Afford to Look Ridiculous”, Makes Ridiculous Move (Emery)
NEW Iran’s Uranium: US Shows a Middle Finger to Tehran…and Turkey and Brazil and… (Gary Sick)
NEW Iran Document: Iranian Labour Unions “This is Not 1979″
Iran Analysis: Washington and the Tehran Nuclear Deal (Parsi)
Iran Alert: Filmmaker Firouz Faces Deportation From UK
Iran Analysis: The Contest at Home Over (and Beyond) the Uranium Agreement (Zahra)
Iran Analysis: Assessing the Tehran Nuclear Deal (Gary Sick)
The Latest from Iran (18 May): Getting Beyond the Uranium Agreement

1700 GMT: Political Prisoner Watch. The Revolutionary Court in Tehran has sentenced student and women's rights activist Bahareh Hedayat to 9 ½ years in prison: six months for insulting the president, two years for insulting the Leader, five years for anti-state and anti-national security actions, and two years, previously suspended, for organizing a gathering in June 2006.


Milad Asadi, another senior member of the alumni organisation Advar-e Tahkim Vahdat, has been sentenced to 7 years in prison.

Bahareh Hedayat's statement for Iran's National Student Day in December 2009:

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EtUvxtH00Lc[/youtube]

1200 GMT: The Uranium Battle. Ali Akbar Salehi, the head of Iran's atomic energy agency, has issued the highest-level reaction to the US pursuit of a sanctions resolution at the United Nations, "They won't prevail and by pursuing the passing of a new resolution they are discrediting themselves in public opinion."

0940 GMT: Political Prisoner Watch. Masoud Heidari, the former head of the Iranian Labour News Agency,was released from prison on Tuesday. On Sunday, Heidari had begun serving a three-month prison sentence.

0840 GMT: Alice-in-Wonderland Media Statement of Day. I guess the editors of The New York Times have not paid any attention to the events of the last 72 hours:

Brazil and Turkey should join the other major players and vote for the Security Council resolution. Even before that, they should go back to Tehran and press the mullahs to make a credible compromise and begin serious negotiations.

0830 GMT: Political Prisoner Watch. Tahereh Saeedi, the wife of detained film director Jafar Panahi, has told Rah-e-Sabz that her husband has been on hunger strike since Sunday.

Panahi has demanded access to his lawyer, visits by his family, and an unconditional release until a court hearing is held.

Six journalists and cultural activists --- Mahnaz Karimi, Hafez Sardarpour, Mehdi Zeynali, Nader Azizi, Mustafa Jamshidi, and Ramin Jabbari --- were arrested on Monday in Iranian Azerbaijan.

0820 GMT: Shutting Down the Inquiry. Parleman News writes that a reformist proposal to investigate Iran's prisons has been rejected by the Parliament. Speaker of Parliament Ali Larijani insists that the Majlis continues to observe prisons and has forwarded a report to the National Security Council.

0815 GMT: Claim of Day (No, It's Not about Uranium). Rah-e-Sabz claims new accusations of impropriety against Mohammad Javad Larijani, a high-ranking official in the judiciary. The website asserts that a deal has been struck: Ahmadinejad will not press a corruption case against Larijani, while the official and his powerful brothers will drop charges against First Vice President Mohammad Reza Rahimi.

0810 GMT: And There's Always a "Terrorism" Story. Press TV features a summary of its interview with Abdolmalek Rigi, the captured leader of the Baluch insurgent group Jundullah: "While in Morocco, suspected Israeli or US agents had given him a list of people to assassinate in Tehran."

0755 GMT: Evaluating the Uranium/Sanctions Story. We have three analyses of the US response to the Iran-Brazil-Turkey agreement: Trita Parsi asks why Washington cannot take Yes for an answer, Chris Emery suggests it is because the US feels it "cannot afford to look  ridiculous", and Gary Sick thinks Washington just showed the middle finger not only to Tehran but to Turkey, Brazil, and a lot of other countries.

The Washington Post has posted a copy of the sanctions resolution introduced by the US into the United Nations Security Council.

0635 GMT: Nuclear Spin of Day. Peyke Iran tries an different angle to attack the Iran-Brazil-Turkey agreement. The website claims that Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip is angry about his reception in Tehran: he and Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva were offered an Iranian breakfast of sangak bread, Bulgarian white cheese, walnuts, and inferior dried fruit.

0630 GMT: Mousavi's Bodyguard. More manoeuvring over Monday's arrest of Mir Hossein Mousavi's head of security, Ahmad Yazdanfar. Khabar Online claims that Yazdanfar "withdrew" from his position, and the story that he was detained is a fiction of the "leaders of sedition" and foreign media.

Opposition outlets have responded that Yazdanfar is not "political" at all but a simple security officer. Through his arrest and the kidnapping, terror, and torture of others, the Government is slowly becoming a terrorist group.

0615 GMT: Iran's Debate on the Tehran Deal. The Government is still facing some opposition to the Iran-Brazil-Turkey agreement. From the conservative wing, Ahmad Tavakoli (and possibly, through indirect means, Speaker of Parliament Ali Larijani) made challenges on Tuesday. On the reformist side, Darius Ghanbari asked why Iran had waited seven months and expended so much capital in its foreign policy, only to move towards an agreement it could have had in October.

The response of pro-Government politicians is that this is only a "declaration", not a "treaty", so Tehran has not entered any binding commitments. Or, as Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki said, "If the Vienna Group (US, UK, France, Germany, Russia, China) accepts Iran’s terms and conditions...both parties commit themselves to the implementation” of the deal."

(Which means that Washington's response --- throwing out any consideration of the agreement in favour of a sanctions-first approach --- has sheltered the Ahmadinejad Government against its internal opponents.)

0530 GMT: For many observers, the nuclear sideshow will remain the main event today. The Obama Administration pretty much guaranteed that when, despite the Iran-Brazil-Turkey agreement on a procedure for a uranium enrichment deal (and despite the small fact that President Obama appears to have encouraged the Turks to pursue the deal --- more on that later), Secretary of State Hillary Clinton loudly and not very politely announced that the US was proceeding with a sanctions resolution in the United Nations.

The resolution was submitted in the late afternoon, so now we will be treated to a lot of posturing on all sides, possibly obscuring this bottom-line assessment, courtesy of the National Iranian American Council: "This is an unbelievably stupid move on the part of the Obama administration. Not only are we rejecting our own terms of the agreement, but we are doing so in as tactless and diplomatically insulting way possible."

Meanwhile, on the centre stage of Iranian politics....

Containing Mousavi

Muhammad Sahimi offers a concise summary of the latest steps by the Government to intimidate Mir Hossein Mousavi ahead of the election anniversary on 12 June, including the arrest of Mousavi's top bodyguard.

The Labour Front

We have posted, in a separate entry, the statement of the Network of Iranian Labor Unions setting out its view of opposition to the Government, "This is Not 1979".

Iran Labor Report posts an overview of recent workers' protests.

Iran Document: Iranian Labour Unions "This is Not 1979"

Posted by News & Letters:

Recently, we were directed to an article in the March-April 2010 News & Letters, "Iranian workers enter the fray," by Raha, in which an isolated quote from one of our members was used to prove that a regressive repeat of the 1979 Islamic revolution was in store for Iran. The author claimed that NILU (the Network of Iranian Labor Unions) was set against advancing workers' independent interests because this would supposedly weaken the Green Movement's internal unity. Starting from this rather dubious premise, the author further claimed that there were clear parallels to be made between the present moment and 1979 when millions of people blindly fell into the trap that Muslim fundamentalists had set for them.

We are happy to inform the author and N&L readers that while there are many difficulties and perils attending the nascent democratic movement, a repeat of the Islamic Revolution is definitely not one of them.



First, unlike the earlier generation with its all-too-familiar revolutionary-romantic/Manichean notions, the new generation is both more sophisticated and more canny as to who its friends and enemies are and the magnitude of the problems. For example, you cannot find one single individual--out of several million Greeners--that is taken in by Mir-Hossein Mousavi's personality, magnetism, political infallibility or mystical powers. When he announced his candidacy last Spring, few had any idea who he really was. For many, a vote for Mousavi was a vote against the system and a vote of no confidence against the regime itself. Today, Mousavi enjoys widespread popularity because he has stood up to the dictatorship and hasn't caved in to the pressures and threats. His popularity would just as easily evaporate if he sells out to the system.

Secondly, the present movement is distinctly democratic in content and in its aims. While practically all the 1979 participants in one way or other called for some form of democracy, none wanted it for the other groups in the struggle. That is decidedly not the case today. Decades of living under dictatorial rule by clerics has taught everyone important lessons in civic responsibility and tolerance. Even structurally, the Green Movement is made up of a vast number of small cells of like-minded people with lots of horizontal ties and few vertical ones.

Thirdly, unlike the violence-prone 1979 revolutionaries, present-day Greeners show a remarkable antipathy towards indiscriminate and mindless violence. In fact, this could be said to be the closest to civil non-violent struggle in memory. We welcome this development as a new form of struggle for social and political empowerment for the third world and beyond (see: Frontline, "A Winning Strategy" at pbs.org). The South African model--where regime henchmen were given blanket clemency--is all the more critical for us because for millions of our devout fellow citizens, support for the regime is unfortunately equated with maintaining faith in God and the prophet.

Finally, this brings us to the contention that our group is for subordinating workers' rights to some nebulous larger aims. What NILU member Homayoun Pourzad was saying in that interview was not that workers should put on hold the promotion of their class interests or that women and young people should not advance their interests. Any cursory glance at our English-language website, Iran Labor Report, would show that we are doing exactly opposite of what the N&L author wrote we are doing or saying. (The same could be said of Zahra Rahnavard, also treated unfairly by the author.) In fact, we are helping with organizing the unorganized at great risk to our security and safety.

What Pourzad said in the interview was that differences among the various Green Movement contingents should not be allowed to aid the enemy to the detriment of the movement. Our movement is still rather weak while the enemy is ruthless, powerful and extremely cunning. What makes them even more dangerous is the special combination of religion and right-wing politics which they excel at exploiting with devastating results. For instance, there are currently over 40,000 volunteers signed up for suicide missions in Iran. In 2005-2006, the mighty U.S. Army was almost brought to its knees in Iraq by less than 1,000 suicide mission volunteers.

The analogy is not unlike the Weimar Republic before Hitler's rise to power. Had the liberals, socialists and communists united against Hitler, instead of attacking one another, the Nazis would probably not have been able to capture power in 1933 or even later. We are at a historic juncture which we could ill afford to miss. Any move that makes us weaker must be avoided. Class, gender and ethnic differences must be respected and articulated comradely and amicably. This was and remains the gist of our position.

The Network of Iranian Labor Unions
April 17, 2010