Middle East Inside Line: Preliminary Proximity Talks, "Strategic Advantage" of Israel's Nukes, Fatah-Hamas Tension

Warming Up the Proximity Talks: US Middle East envoy George Mitchell met Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Thursday for the second time in two days. There has been no comment so far.

Mitchell is to go to Ramallah on Friday, meeting the Palestinian Authority leader Mahmoud Abbas.

The official announcement of the beginning of indirect talks is awaiting approval by the Palestine Liberation Organization's Executive Committee. It is expected by Saturday.

Middle East Inside line: Israel’s Nuclear Problem; Syrian Tensions with US & Israel

Israel's "Strategic Advantage": The head of the International Atomic Energy Agency, Yukiya Amano, has asked member states to share views on how to implement a resolution demanding that Israel accede to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and open  its nuclear facilities to IAEA oversight.


An Israeli official on Thursday responded by defendeing the country's "opaque" policy on its nuclear program as a "strategic advantage". He added that Israel would not sign the NPT until a comprehensive Arab-Israel peace deal is in place, as the treaty in itself is "not successful" in preventing countries such as Saddam Husein's Iraq or Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons.

Fatah-Hamas Tension: Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas on Thursday accused the rival Hamas movement of smuggling weapons into the West Bank. In an interview with the London-based A-Sharq al-Awsat, he said:

On the one hand, the organization is punishing those who launch rockets in Gaza, while at the same time it hoards weapons in the West Bank.

Israel-Palestine: The Proximity Talks Starts Silently (Yenidunya)

On Wednesday, U.S. Mideast special envoy George Mitchell met Israel Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. A spokesman for the Prime Minister's Office said that the two had a three-hour discussion and described the atmosphere as good. State Department spokesman P.J. Crowley also said the meeting was good and productive. Mitchell is scheduled to see Netanyahu again on Thursday and the leader of the Palestinian Authority, Mahmoud Abbas on Friday.

Israel-Palestine Opinion: Discrimination in East Jerusalem (Eldar)
Israel-Palestine: Proximity Talks to Begin on Wednesday? (Yenidunya)

However, there are still negative voices in Israel over the sustainability of indirect talks. Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman expressed doubts about the Palestinians' intentions:

The Palestinians' indecision on holding indirect talks with all kinds of excuses raises questions about their seriousness. I hope that, despite this, we will succeed in holding talks in a proper fashion.

Meanwhile, Abbas was in Cairo and Amman on Wednesday for talks with Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak and Jordan's King Abdullah II. Despite Israeli insistence that indirect talks are not for addressing key issues such as the final status of Jerusalem or the permanentl borders of the Palestinian state, Abbas declared, "Negotiations will focus on final status issues and there's no need to enter into details and small matters because we have had enough of that in the previous negotiations."

Abbas also pointed out the limits of talks in an interview with CNN. He warned that he would quit the discussions if Israel embarked on construction activity in the West Bank.

Israel-Palestine: Proximity Talks to Begin on Wednesday? (Yenidunya)

On Monday, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak met in Sharm el-Sheikh to discuss upcoming U.S.-mediated negotiations.

Netanyahu described the meeting as "constructive...in a good atmosphere", and Defense Ministry strategist Amos Gilad said that the indirect negotiations with Palestinians would begin on Wednesday. However, some Israeli politicians still opposed indirect talks. Deputy Prime Minister Dan Meridor called them "a strange affair" after face-to-face peace negotiations stretching back 16 years. He reiterated the Netanyahu Government's official position:

Israel-Palestine: Arab League Supports Indirect Talks (Yenidunya)

I think it is clear to everyone that real talks are direct talks, and I don't think there is a chance of a significant breakthrough until the direct talks begin.

Ramallah's vision is sharply different than West Jerusalem's. Nabil Abu Rdainah, a spokesman for Mahmoud Abbas, said:

The truth is we are not in need of negotiations. We are in need of decisions by the Israeli government. This is the time for decisions more than it is the time for negotiations.

The moves continue as US Middle East special envoy George Mitchell is back to the region. White House spokesman Robert Gibbs said:

The president spoke late this morning with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu.

They discussed how best to work together to achieve comprehensive peace in the Middle East, in particular by making full use of substantive proximity talks between Israel and the Palestinians and transitioning to direct negotiations as soon as possible.

Gibbs saidthat the two leaders also discussed regional challenges and Obama "reaffirmed his unshakable commitment" to the security of Israel.

Middle East Analysis: Washington's Latest Stick for an Israel-Palestine Solution

U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said on Friday she expects indirect talks between Israel and the Palestinians to begin next week. However, this is not the end of the story.

Here is the Obama Administration’s most recent and biggest stick: an international summit run by the Quartet of Middle East peacemakers --- the United States, European Union, United Nations, and Russia --- to establish a Palestinian state if Israeli-Palestinian talks remain stalemated into September or October.

Israel-Palestine: The Golden Key to Proximity Talks? East Jerusalem (Yenidunya)

Why in September or October? First of all, Arab League foreign ministers are expected to demand that the negotiations show progress within four months. Secondly, the UN General Assembly will reconvene in late September. Thirdly, September is the first anniversary of Obama’s trilateral summit with the Palestinian Authority leader Mahmoud Abbas and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Lastly, 26 September marks the end of the 10-month Israeli freeze on construction in West Bank settlements.


So what does this mean for Israel? Simply put, Washington says that West Jerusalem might find itself facing an internationalization of the conflict, moving hand-in-hand with insistence on a solution based international law and UN Resolutions 242 and 338. This means a shift away from the basis of provisions for Israeli self-defense to the  consolidation of socio-political institutions seeing the Israeli occupation as the heart of problems in the region.

Meanwhile, Washington is increasing its pressure on Israel. On Friday, a Palestinian source told The Guardian that the Obama administration would consider allowing the UN Security Council to censure Israel over its activity in West Bank settlements, encouraging the Palestinians to participate in peace talks. This would mean a US abstention on any resolution. The same source also reported that David Hale, the deputy to US special envoy George Mitchell, told Abbas that the Obama administration views Israeli construction in East Jerusalem as "provocative."

Will the Obama Administration be able to convince other countries to support these measures, despite Israel’s “sensitive” bilateral relations with Russia and France? Washington may find ground if it presents this as an approach to not only the Israeli-Palestinian conflict but also other regional problems, such as Iran’s nuclear programme, Hamas-Fatah reconciliation talks, and Israel’s relations with Lebanon and Syria.

If the Obama Administration is really serious in its warning, this is more than welcome for the Palestinian Authority as it will decrease pressure on the PA in the Weskt Bank.  However, Palestinians are unlikely to welcome an international conference if they cannot get more than “gestures” from the Netanyahu Government.

Arab countries will take a similar position. The London-based Al-Quds Al-Arabi has already reported that Syria is opposed to the Palestinians returning to the negotiating table because "Israel has not made enough gestures of good faith, and in light of the fact that senior officials in Israel have been sounding threats against Damascus and Beirut".