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Friday
Sep112009

Iran: The Complete Translation of the Supreme Leader's Friday Prayer Address

Iran: Josh Shahryar’s Snap Analysis of the Supreme Leader’s Speech
The Latest from Iran (11 September): Prayers and Politics
Iran: Questions on Prayer Day


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KHAMENEI3Many, many thanks to Josh Shahryar, who live-translated the Supreme Leader's speech and has provided this edited version to Enduring America:


[08:09:20] (Khamenei is here, people are chanting loudly)
[08:09:28] ("Khamenei is Leader" people chanting.)
[08:09:32] (Khamenei is thanking people.)
[08:09:38] May God bless you,
[08:09:52] In the Name of God,
[08:10:17] (Says prayers in Arabic)
[08:10:28] (People join in chorus)
[08:10:45] (Khamenei prays more)
[08:11:11] Brothers and sisters who are praying here, I remind you, this is the month for taqwa (Godfearing-ness)

[08:11:26] and today, the 21st of Ramadan, is the day a man like Amirul Momineen Hazrat Ali died.
[08:11:57] Let's make taqwa the goal of our life for our afterlife.
[08:12:01] In the first part of the sermon, we'll talk about Amirul Momineen as
it is his day. Last night was Friday so this year has similarities with the 21st of Ramadan of the year in which humanity lost [Imam] Ali.
[08:12:50] His body, his voice, his breath, his eyes, went from today's world.
[08:12:55] But, one could keep Ali with one self, and keep him in front of one self and
one's actions. Only if we could follow his path and his character and treat him as our a role model. I will recount a part of his life and his short, but glorious government.
[08:14:15] I will be discussing his political life.
[08:14:35] We must keep in mind that his political actions are not different from the other parts of his life. His politics is in sync with his character and his religious life.
[08:15:13] Politics, if founded in religion and virtue, then for the people who are subjected to it, is a way to heaven.
[08:15:36] However, politics, seperated from religion and morality, becomes a means for
acquiring power at any cost and for acquiring wealth, and putting one's own goal in life ahead of everything else.
[08:16:09] It becomes a plague both for the politician and for the people in whose live it affects.
[08:16:50] The government which went through three wars is a government that Ali in Nahjul Balaghe (a book of Ali's sayings) describes in abhorrent terms.
[08:17:39] He says about this government, "The moisture that comes out of the nose of a sheep has no importance," and then compares it to this government.
[Note: During Ali's brief four year reign, three wars were fought between Muslim factions --- two directly against Ali by other factions]
[08:17:53] In part of his sayings about why he accepted the government, he says: "I saw people asking me to come forward and accept it sa they saw in it their victory, thus, I accepted."
[08:18:59] He explains again, "God has asked the knowledgable not to tolerate people's suffering." Thus, Ali was forced to comply; otherwise, this government doesn't really have anything for Ali.
[08:19:27] One of the distinguishing parts of his government was that his government stayed far from deception.
[08:19:50] He says, "If the fear of God had not held my hands, I was better at deceit than all of the Arabs."
[08:20:17] He said about Mawiye (His arch-enemy and eventual successor)- who was good at deceit, "He is not smarter than I."
[08:20:22] But what should Ali do?
[08:20:31] He has fear of God, that's why he couldn't be deceitful.
[08:20:40] When there is no fear of God, then one can do anything.
[08:20:43] One can lie to people, slander..., break promises and could find love for the enemies of the righteous path
[08:21:16] Ali says, "I selected politics with fear of God, and took it upon me with fear of God."
[08:21:28] That's why his character and his actions do not show any signs of deception in them.
[08:21:32] They are pure and clean of such things.
[08:21:47] One thing about politics that people did in the early days of Islam, and now some people do the same in our country today, is that They speak of separating religion and politics. If separated from religion, government will be separated from morality.
[08:22:25] In secular governments, morality has been destroyed.
[08:22:26] There are exceptions, but when religion is seperated from politics, then politics is degraded. Ali's political actions are not seperated from religion.
[08:23:17] His political actions were such that he even tried to befriend his enemies.
[08:23:38] The reason why he went through three wars was that he had exhausted all channels of making amends with his enemies.
[08:24:10] In the early days of his government, some came to him and kept telling him to treat some people harshly and deal with them firmly. Ali said that this is just one view. "But there are people who support you and there are people who oppose you," [they said], "And still there are people who have idea different then you and your opposers."
[08:24:39] Then wait, he said, until the victim's right can be taken from the violator gently, we should return the victim's rights with as much softness as we can.
[08:25:51] The last resort would be to take a more direct action.
[08:26:05] In the war of Saffin,
[08:26:13] Some people came and kept asking why Ali wouldn't attack,
[08:27:05] Ali said, "I am not after war. I am here for guidance. If I could delay fighting for even a day, it might help some people to come and follow the right path. When we are sure that no one will come, then we'll draw our swords and fight."
[08:27:15] About the Battle of Jamal,
[08:28:18] Ali said, "They have stood up because they wanted to show their anger as to why Ali had been given this government. But when I see that their actions are going to create a rift between Muslims and pit brothers against brothers, then I'll enter and find a cure to this menace. Until then I'll wait and try to guide them."
[08:28:42] A distinguishing part of his character was that he tried to debate with his enemies.
[08:28:50] In the letters he sent to Mawiye, who was Ali's enemy, while Mawiye would send letters to humiliating Ali, Ali would send letters and told him with love that he was wrong.
[08:29:33] Talhe and Zubair came and pledged allegiance to Ali.
[08:29:42] But then went to Mecca saying they were going to perform Hajj. Ali said he knew they weren't going to Hajj, but had another purpose. (The two later joined Aisha in a short battle in which both were killed)
[08:29:56] What they did there is clear.
[08:30:02] But Ali deals with them gently, he tries to guide them,
[08:30:11] But when kindness does not work, then Ali acts directly.
[08:30:26] For example, against the Khawarij, he said, "I tore their eyes out."
[08:30:37] And no one could do it like Ali.
[08:30:55] One part of his politics was that, in order to be victorious, he wouldn't lie or be cruel. During his government, some came to him and said, "There are these influential people in the government that need to support you. Give them money from the people's treasury and get their support."
[08:31:37] Ali said, "You want me to get victory through cruelty to the public? It is impossible for me."
[08:32:01] How could Ali find friends using un-Islamic ways?
[08:32:22] Another of distinguishing aspect of his character was that he asked people not to act fake towards him and not praise him excessively.
[08:32:45] During one of his sermons, a man stood up and started praising him excessively.
[08:33:18] After his words were finished, Ali turned to him, and as much as he had spoken during the sermon to that point, he spoke to that man and advised him not speak to Ali in that manner.
[08:33:30] He said, "Don't talk to me like you talk to kings. Do not praise me excessively."
[08:34:01] He wouldn't get happy of such praise,
[08:34:12] A praise that was worthy of cruel rulers, but not of Ali.
[08:34:21] That was one of his distinguishing marks.
[08:34:37] Another one was his dealings with people.
[08:34:42] He wouldn't treat everyone the same.
[08:35:00] The main examples are how he dealt with the Khawarij (a faction of Muslims that broke away from the main body of Islam and decided to neither support Mawiye nor Ali in their quest for attaining the leadership of Muslims) and with Mawaiye.
[08:35:27] When Mawiye came to him with Korans on top of spears, Ali said, "This is deceit!", but tried to debate with him.
[08:35:41] When the Khawarij came to him, he confronted them.
[08:36:42] However, he said, "Do not fight the Khawarij after me. He who wants to find the truth --- but cannot find it because he makes mistakes --- is not equal to those who who try to find the opposite path to truth and find it."
[08:36:56] His political actions and his religious life are totally compatible.
[08:37:07] Today is the day of his mourning.
[08:37:16] I should say some things about the suffering he [Ali] endured before his death.
(Transmission was broken for a few seconds)
[08:37:34] On the 19th of Ramadan he was struck and injured, and between that and the 21st [Ali died two days after being struck with a sword by a a member of Khawarij named Abdurrahman ibn Muljim on his way to the mosque to lead prayers], some things happened that are lessons [to us].
[08:38:10] First was when this enemy of God struck Ali, he didn't cry out or show signs of pain and only uttered prayers to Allah.
[08:38:27] "I swear to God that I found salvation," he said.
[08:38:42] Blood was gushing out of Ali's head and Imam Hasan was looking at his father's face.
[08:38:50] Imam Hasan started crying,
[08:39:00] A drop of tear fell on Ali's face.
[08:39:35] He said, "My Hasan, you cry; don't. Today I am in the company that loves me. The prophet is here. Fatimah (Ali's wife) is here."
[08:39:42] Then they picked him up,
[08:39:47] and he prayed [inside the mosque] while sitting.
[08:39:59] He kept praying even as he was injured and swayed from side to side from the effects of the injury.
[08:40:03] He was picked and taken to his house later.
[08:40:29] The people of Kufa heard the news of his death and everyone came out of their houses as when the prophet had died.
[08:41:10] Hossein had cried so much that his eyelids were hurt.
[08:41:20] Ali asked Hossein not to cry as well.
[08:41:31] Ali asked people to take him inside his house and take him and put him on his prayer mat.
[08:41:42] Ali's daughters came and started crying beside him.
[08:41:48] (Many in the prayer hall start crying...)
[08:42:01] Ali told Imam Hasan not to cry, then he told Imam Hossein not to cry.
[08:42:18] But he couldn't stop himself after watching his daughters cry and started crying himself.
[08:42:30] (Khamenei stops speaking and starts sobbing; people in the hall start crying loudly.)
[08:42:57] Ya Ali, if you couldn't see Zainab (his daughter) cry on that day, how could you have stopped yourself if you'd seen her cry on Ashura?
(On Ashura, decades later, Imam Hossein, his friends and family members were slaughtered in the desert at Karbala by Mawiye's son's armies.)
[08:43:34] He was visited by a scholar while he lay dying. The scholar says, one of Ali's daughters was crying which got me crying. Then everyone sitting outside started crying.
[08:43:57] Ali said, "If you could see what I'm seeing now, then you wouldn't cry either."
[08:44:03] We asked him what he was seeing and he said, "I see the God's angels, I
see prophets, and I see Mohammad. Mohammed tells me to come sooner."
[08:44:44] The scholar says he left the house a while later and as he came out, he heard people inside the house crying so he knew that Ali had died.
[08:44:53] (Khamenei prays in Arabic and sends Praise to Ali)
[08:45:05] (Khamenei Prays for the People)
[08:46:01] Oh God, give people unity,
[08:46:09] Oh God, cut the hands that create rift among people.
[08:46:15] (Khamenei prays more)
[08:46:31] (Recites from the Koran)
[08:46:39] (Everyone goes silent for a while)
[08:47:04] (Khamenei Starts Again)
[08:47:05] In the Name of God,
[08:47:23] (Khamenei prays some more)
[08:47:44] (Still Praying)
[08:48:36] I ask all you brothers and sisters to fear god inn all our actions.
[08:48:45] In the second part of my sermon,
[08:48:58] First, it is imperative that we remember Ayatollah Taleghani and also Ayatollah Madani as today has a connection with them, and these two men, their lives, are
part of the history of our country.
[08:49:53] Their memories will remain in our minds and our history.
[08:50:00] One thing I'll say in today's sermon and the people who I'm going to say this
to are politicians and officials of the government or those who were part of the government.
[08:50:51] Let's use Ramadan for explaining realities, and preach guidance to listeners and especially to the youth as this will be beneficial.
[08:51:19] The people that we will be speaking to are part of the system; individuals who are inside the system and hopefully, they will be remain in the system.
[08:51:49] This is not just a slogan - this inside the system and outside the system thing.
[08:52:09] One thing is that from the beginning of the revolution to this day, there have been differences that have emerged.
[08:52:31] Some of these differences and rifts have proven costly, but some of them have been solved by the wisdom and vigilance of the people and has not cost the government much.
[08:52:54] These differences of ideas and rifts are not all the same.
[08:53:04] Some of these differences were a result of differences in beliefs,
[08:53:18] But some of them are differences that have been created as result of some people's personal gains.
[08:53:31] Some of them are just differences of how things should be implemented.
[08:53:36] So these differences are all not the same.
[08:53:43] From the beginning of the revolution, as we were all together with each other, differences emerged.
[08:54:10] Imam Khomeini did not deal with all these the same way, same as Ali.
[08:54:24] Imam KHomeini first tried to guide them. There were different people in the government back then.
[08:54:42] There were people from the old beaureucracy, there were people who had just joined the government and then there were those who were using terror and protests to achieve their objectives.
[08:54:59] He dealt with them all differently.
[08:55:07] Some of these people were at top levels of government...
(Transmission was interrupted)
[08:55:19] He even dealt with a president.
[08:55:22] (transmission cut)
[08:55:26] (Restored)
[08:55:31] These differences were emerged. Some of them resulted in debates, but some became conflicts.
[08:56:20] To those who were enemies of the religion, Imam Khomeini said that he would come to them personally.
[08:56:34] But when came the time that some wanted to force wrong ideas upon the system, Imam Khomeini hit back firmly.
[08:57:08] Now those who are after personal gains, try to make it look as if they're seeking something else.
[08:57:25] But that's when they become enemies of the system.
[08:57:42] If someone has a different idea but does not try to attack the system, the system is fine with them.
[08:57:59] Political ideologies that are different; we're fine with them, as long as they don't try to force it upon the system.
[08:58:05] It's not about having different ideas, but about attacking the Islamic system.
[08:58:18] This what the system will fight against.
[08:58:36] If there are differences over how to implement the system's policies, then that's fine.
[08:58:52] The system should have people who could point out the weaknesses in the system. Criticism makes people work harder, but all this must be inside the framework of the system.
[08:59:16] This difference in impelementation is not dangerous.
[08:59:33] However, the foundations of the system are the constitution, Imam Khomeini's way and the Koran.
[09:00:19] Having differences in how to implement, are not a big problem.
[09:00:35] However when some come up with entirely different foundations to rest the system upon, which is dangerous.
[09:00:44] So long as they work inside the framework of the system as we said, so long as peopel don't resort to violence, don't lie or create tension, the system will not attack.
[09:01:11] The system will tolerate them if they have a different opinion.
[09:01:40] However, if some people comes with new pillars for the system and create insecurity for people, then the system needs to deal with them harshly.
[09:01:53] (People chant loudly)
[09:02:15] we say people should have the right to be defended if they have been slandered or humiliated, then the system also has the right to defend itself.
[09:02:33] Some say since the system is political, it should not defend itself.
[09:02:37] This is not right.
[09:02:42] Nowhere in the world is this so.
[09:02:59] In any part of the world, even in countries where they say they are politically advanced and ahead in democratic values, people do not disagree with the system's foundations.
[09:03:10] They have checks and balances, like our own Guardian Council.
[09:03:30] They don't tolerate someone who comes
and fight against the system.
[09:03:38] The system doesn't sit back and tolerate such people.
[09:03:50] In European countries, they don't tolerate this and fight back against such people.
[09:03:55] Thus, the answer to any attacks on the system is going to be harsh.
[09:04:38] But having a different opinion - when it doesn't come with slander and lies -, will be tolerated by the system.
[09:04:42] Another point, a point government officials, influentials and politicians should be aware of, is to stay on the right path and not diverge. The Koran speaks of this issue in different parts of this holy book: "The result of some actions take us to where one says that verses of the Koran are lies."
[09:06:16] In another part, "They broke their promise with God, and disunity was sown among them."
[09:07:10] "Some people who cannot stand against the enemy and fall, it is because they have sinned in the past."
[09:07:18] Sins corrupt us. It takes time. It doesn't happen all at once. One cannot sleep one night a Muslim and wake up an infidel. No, It happens gradually. The cure to this is fear of God. We must be cautious, we must watch out for each other. Wives must watch out for husbands and husbands should watch out for their wives. Friends should watch out for each other. People should send letters to officials [in the government]. They should guide them so that officials don't make mistakes as this is dangerous for the system.
[09:09:00] We must ask Allah for guidance. Another point is that as with people, corruption might find its way into a system as well - even an Islamic system. The same infliction might afflict an Islamic system. Just as in people, a system that might look Islamic, but its actions are unIslamic.
[09:10:11] Like I told students last year, a system could progress or regress. Progress would make society get closer to the ideals of justice and religion and religious virtue, progress industrially... and in terms of education and progress in terms of freedom. It would make society stand more firmly against enemeis. These are signs of positive progress. These would build the life and the afterlife of the citizens of a society.
[09:12:09] But there is regress as well. Regress towards injustice, towards economic insufficiency, towards the use of freedom in a corrupt manner... and for sinful acts. Instead of standing against unjust powers of the world, showing weakness, backing down from this and smiling at these powers.
[09:13:33] Backing down from one's rights both nuclear and non-nuclear. This is regress. The system shouldn't make the society regress. It should make it progress.
[09:13:55] This is a danger to the Islamic system. The people need to be vigilant. The Islamic system is an Islamic system when it follows the same policies that were being followed in the lifetime of Imam Khomeini. I tell you that in my past 30 years of life, so long as we have followed the path of Imam Khomeini, we have been victorious.
[09:15:21] But every time we have stopped following that path, we have weakened, have backed down and have even had economic losses. Some think that one should drop one's weapons against the powerful enemy. Some people wanted to do this during the elections.
[09:16:08] They wanted to take the people's support from the Islamic regime. But the clear sign of [people's] support for the Islamic regime was the 40 million votes... Then the foreign media kept saying that the regime had lost the people's support, but people coming in such number to polls - a turnout of 85% -, this trust of the people in the regime itt shows them clearly where people stand. The people trust the regime and the regime trusts the people.
[09:17:25] You will see that in the next election in 2 or 3 years. The same people - even though enemies from outside and those inside who don't know and are oblivious will try to dissuade them - will have another strong showing in those elections as well.
[09:17:59] (people chant)
[09:18:04] The point is: we all must be cautious. The Islamic system is proud because it wants to follow the Koran. Let's not have it become secular, not with a secular inside and a Koranic outside. An inside that is in love for western ideals and outside covered with the Koran. The Islamic System must be true to its name. It should get closer to the Islam daily. This is what solves problems. This is what gives the society pride and power. This is what will make the number of the Islamic system's supporters swell abroad.
[09:19:55] Some people see all the enemies and fear is instilled in them. All the governments in the world have enemies and they have friends. This has been the same throughout history. Everyone has some friends and some enemies. The prophet's government and Ali's government had both friends friends and enemies.
[The Paltalk channel broadcasting this through a radio had sound difficulties in this part so the translation is not verbatim in some parts.]
[09:20:45] The Islamic system is also the same. It has some friends and some enemies. But important is to see who the enemy is and who the friends are. If the government is such that all those governments that are cruel and unjust and Zionist are enemies of it, then this is something to be proud of.
[09:22:09] Then there are friends of this government which are Islamic countries, African countries, Asian countries, Muslims in Europe and others. Some years ago, the Iranian soccer team, was playing in a game [This is clearly the US vs Iran soccer game during the 1998 World Cup which Iran won.] Some people in Northern Africa in a cafe were cheering for Iran when Iran struck a goal. They were asked why they were cheering since they had no stake in the game. They said, "Iran's victory is our victory - even in football."
[09:23:04] During these unrests and violence after the elections, people in Islamic countries have been ask their friends in Iran about what has been happening and showing concern. But people here would say, "The Islamic system is far more powerful to be damaged by this."
[09:23:45] Yes, there are enemies like America, Britain - which has a 200 year history of animosity against Iran - and zionists. Let these enemies be enemies. But if the government friends with America, the UK and zionists, then that is shameful. To have as enemies the Islamic countries, that is shameful.
[09:24:56] (no transmission)
[09:25:09] We shouldn't give up. We shouldn't accept defeat against such countries, we should be cautious.
[09:25:21] Dear youngsters: this is your country. It will be in your hands tomorrow. A powerful system - powerful in all aspects - should make you proud. It should be your duty and it is your duty to protect it this an Islamic system in reality, an Islamic system that Imam Khomeini gave our country as a gift.
[09:27:05] Remember, in the past ten years, they tried to change the policies of Imam Khomeini. They said that the policies of the revolution were old. But they will never become old. They are always attractive to the people.
[09:28:05] (people chant)
[09:28:25] Next week, on Friday is Quds Day. This is one of the most distinguished marks of Imam KHomeini on this country. With this day, we have been able to keep Palestine's cause alive in the world. A lot of countries in the world tried to force this cause into oblivion. But the Islamic regime did not.
[09:30:00] Now the powerful nation [USA] and zionists are concerned that the Islamic regime will not give up. And they keep attempting to attempt to stop this. We will celebrate Quds Day and we will hold gatherings and rallies. In other countries also many Muslims follow the Iranian people in this.
[09:30:42] Quds Day is for the Palestinians. It is a show of unity of Iranians. Be cautious, so that no one could use this day to create differences and rifts between us. They couldn't break our unity before and they cannot now.
[09:31:56] (People Chant)
[09:32:02] (Khamenei rather quickly concludes his speech and ends his sermon with a short prayer)
Friday
Sep112009

Iran: Josh Shahryar's Snap Analysis of the Supreme Leader's Speech

Iran: The Translation of the Supreme Leader's Friday Prayer Address (Part 1)
The Latest from Iran (11 September): Prayers and Politics
Iran: Questions on Prayer Day


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KHAMENEIWhile I catch up with EA staff on their reading of the Supreme Leader's speech, here's a snap analysis from our colleague Josh Shahryar, who is also providing an English translation of the speech that we'll post later this afternoon:

The IRGC [Revolutionary Guard] is very much in charge of the latest round of arrests. Ahmadinejad seems to be more powerful then before. Khamenei needs support in the face of clerical opposition so he's caving in to their demands, but he's softening his tone because he fears more reprisals from Qom. For now, it seems that the reformist leaders will stay out of prison until Quds Day.
Thursday
Sep102009

The Latest from Iran (10 September): Who Fits Where?

NEW Iran Analysis: Retrenching Before Friday’s Prayers
EA Exclusive: Iran and Venezuela are Going to Kill Us All
The Latest from Iran (9 September): The Stakes Are Raised


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IRAN GREEN1955 GMT: The Youth and Student Section of Mehdi Karroubi's reformist Etemade Melli party have condemned the acts of the judiciary and security forces with the arrest of Mousavi’s and Karoubi’s advisors. The section declared that these actions in the run-up to Qods Day (18 Sept.) not only will fail to cause fear in people but will encourage them to attend the epic demonstration on that day.

1815 GMT: There is a bit of a buzz about a letter from the noted political philosopher Abdolkarim Soroush to the Supreme Leader, proclaiming that Iranians will celebrate the "decline of religious despotism".

1740 GMT: The reformist Islamic Iran Participation Front has expressed support for Mir Hossein Mousavi’s “Green Path of Hope” as a manifesto for the liberation of Iranians from the "defective cycle of tyranny".

1735 GMT: Still don't believe there is a foreign-directed effort at "velvet revolution" in Iran? Well here, courtesy of Raja News, is the super-duper, multi-colour chart (with arrows) to prove it.

1730 GMT: Norooz, which was down earlier today because of an "Internal Server Error", is back online.

1440 GMT: An EA correspondent clarifies our 1415 GMT entry on newssites linked to Mehdi Karroubi: "Saham News is back to posting new items, while tagheer.ir is a site that was set up some 7-8 months ago during Khatami's President candidacy."

1425 GMT: Mohammad Reza Bahonar, the Deputy Speaker of Parliament, has said that if Mehdi Karroubi cannot establish his claims of detainee abuse, he should be tried on criminal charges. The source is significant because Bahonar had been a vocal foe of the President during the debate over the Cabinet.

1415 GMT: There are reports that staff of Mehdi Karroubi have set up an alternative website to replace the suspended Saham News/Etemade Melli party site. The alternative, tagheer.ir, has similar content and approach to that of Saham News.

At the same time, it appears that the Norooz site, a key source for recent news is down because of "Internal Server Error". Before it went down, the site was disputing the Government's denial of its list of 72 people killed in post-election conflict and reporting that the memorial for the late Ayatollah Taleghani, which the Government had tried to block, had been held at the family home.

1345 GMT: Amnesty International says it has reports that Caspian Makan, the fiancé of Neda Agha Soltan, who was shot and killed by Basiji militia on 20 June, has been released from detention.

1330 GMT: Report that Zohreh Ashtiani, a reporter with Saham News, the Etemade Melli party's website, was arrested and her house searched. A later report says she was released after 12 hours of questioning.

0940 GMT: Just back from an interview with BBC World Service Radio on President Obama's speech on health care (the audio is now up for the next 24 hours). Not much breaking in Iran.

And, confirming our  0800 GMT post, it appears that Iran, apart from The Bomb, will stay off the agenda for most international media. A CNN anchor has just posted their editorial call: "Iraq blast/Afghanistan/India stampede/Mex hijacking/Turkey flood/Taiwan Cabinet/world cup". Yep, the US match with Trinidad & Tobago beats out any consideration of the Government crackdown. (No, the CNN website never did mention the arrest of key Mousavi and Karroubi advisors like Alireza Beheshti.)

0815 GMT: Josh Shahryar has posted "The Green Brief" for Wednesday, including the essential correction that he gave us (0655 GMT) on yesterday's statement about those breaking the law by the head of judiciary, Sadegh Larijani.

0800 GMT: The New York Times, which had been doing quite well of late with Iran coverage, decides to indulge in peripheral hysteria this morning. Michael Slackman, Nazila Fathi, and Robert Worth, each of whom has some knowledge of Iran as something more than Islam and bombs, give way for David Sanger, who knows what was told to him by the most recent "Western diplomat" or Administration official. So today, it's another recycling of the superficial and misleading claim, "U.S. Says Iran Has Ability to Expedite a Nuclear Bomb".

(Superficial because "ability to expedite a nuclear bomb" is vaguery bordering on linguistic nonsense. Misleading even in the caveats in the article: "a rapid, if risky, sprint for a nuclear weapon" is shorthand for Iran either does not yet have or has not pursued the capability to convert low-yield uranium into highly-enriched uranium in practice, rather than theory. Thus, "the new intelligence information collected by the Obama administration finds no convincing evidence that design work has resumed."

All swept away because someone told Sanger something on his way to the office to file a story: "In interviews over the past two months, intelligence and military officials, and members of the Obama administration, have said they are convinced that Iran has made significant progress on uranium enrichment, especially over the past year.")

Perhaps Sanger might write, for his next not-exactly-an-exclusive, "Ohmygod, Iran and Venezuela are Going to Kill Us All!"

0655 GMT: With a slow morning for breaking news (which is tempting fate, since we said the same thing yesterday and then faced a torrent of afternoon development), we have posted an analysis, "Retrenching before Friday Prayers". And we've taken time to give a breaking story, featured in The Wall Street Journal and The Washington Post, the respect it deserves: "EA Exclusive: Iran and Venezuela are Going to Kill Us All".

There is, however, one significant development or, rather, a  correction of a development. We updated yesterday on the interview of the head of Iran's judiciary, "Has Larijani Jumped Behind Ahmadinejad?", because we read his condemnation of those "outside the law" as  a reference to the opposition. Indeed we posted in our last update, The New York Times, drawing from Fars News Agency, was highlighting Larijani's phrase “great costs to the Islamic system”.

Josh Shahryar has had a close look, however, at the interview as it appeared on Radio Zamaneh. Read on its own, it is unclear who is being targeted by this passage:
Some had tried to call the elections fraudulent and attempted to stray outside "the circle of legality". [Larijani] said that law-breaking had become rampant and it had been observed in the aftermath of the elections how such actions had inflicted a great cost on the Islamic regime. He said that these violators shouldn't think that they're not being watched and the Judiciary should pursue the perpetrators of any such law-breaking legally.

However, the ambiguity evaporates when the previous paragraph is added: "Judiciary Chief Sadegh Larijani today said that what had happened in the detention centers had inflicted a huge blow on the standing of the regime. He said that the Judiciary would pursue these violations carefully and vigorously."
Thursday
Sep102009

Iran Analysis: Retrenching Before Friday's Prayers

Iran: Mousavi Statement on Arrests of Top Opposition Advisors
Iran: Ahmadinejad’s “All-In” Move?
The Latest from Iran (9 September): The Stakes Are Raised


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IRAN 18 TIR0445 GMT: Wednesday was a retrenching day for most parties in the Iran conflict. The Supreme Leader, inevitably, kept a low profile ahead of his big appearance on Friday at prayers in Tehran. We are none the wiser as to whether he is aligned with President Ahmadinejad's aggressive crackdown on the opposition, is catching up with moves he did not anticipate, or is manoeuvring for position between factions within the Establishment.

Ahmadinejad's Government, meanwhile, played the international actor by presenting its proposals for the next steps on Iran's nuclear programme to the "5+1" powers (US, UK, Russia, China, France, and Germany). The paper will soon be kicked back to Tehran as insufficient and even irrelevant; within hours of its presentation yesterday the ever-present "Western diplomats" were leaking to ever-present media channels that they were not happy with a sketchy five-page outline that dealt more with general global issues than with verification of Iran's nuclear status.

The most visible move came from the Green opposition via Mir Hossein Mousavi's statement reacting to the arrest of his aides and those of Mehdi Karroubi in the raids of the previous 48 hours. On its own, this was a "hold the line" statement: keep calm, keep alert, don't be intimidated. The best way to read it, in fact, is next to Mousavi's previous statement for the "Green Path of Hope", set out just before the Government move against his offices and staff. That statement, in addition to its call for a social movement of protest, outlined nine steps to be taken to restore Iran's political, legal, religious, and social integrity.

Karroubi, meanwhile, kept a low profile, possibly as a tactical measure, possibly because it has been enforced by the shutdown of his media outlets, and former President Khatami also made no intervention. (Nor, apart from the Green movement, did Hashemi Rafsanjani, pop up.) Instead, the chatter was about the ripples from Sunday's meeting of prominent clerics in Qom, which including several Grand Ayatollahs. It is not definite but probable that the gathering spurring Ayatollah Golpaygani's letter to the Supreme Leader criticising the Cabinet, which brought a firm rebuke from Khamenei, and an invitation to Ayatollah Sistani, the leading Shi'a cleric in Iraq, to discuss matters.

How much space do they have to manoeuvre? On the Government side, the most curious development was an interview with the head of judiciary, Sadegh Larijani, with criticism of those who acted "outside the law". We initially read this as a possible alignment behind Ahmadinejad, interpreting Larijani's outsiders as the opposition. There is, however, a question mark over this, with some Iran-watchers seeing Larijani's statement as a reference to the security forces and military who abused detainees at prisons like Kahrizak. We will update on this later today.
Wednesday
Sep092009

UPDATED Iran: Mousavi Statement on Arrests of Top Opposition Advisors

The Latest from Iran (9 September): The Stakes Are Raised
Iran: Ahmadinejad’s “All-In” Move?
UPDATED Iran: Mousavi HQ Raided by Security Forces

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MOUSAVI3From the Facebook page of Mir Hossein Mousavi (our earlier translation, provided by an activist on Twitter, is reprinted after this later work from teh Mousavi team):

In the name of God, the Compassionate and the Merciful

The news of arrests of our dear brothers Dr. Seyyed Alireza Beheshti and Morteza Alviri, heads of the special committee investigating the abuse of victims of the recent events, and General [Esmail Ahmadi] Moghaddam, head of the Veterans’ Committee of my election campaign, have created a wave of shock and ambiguity in [the hearts of] those faithful to the Islamic establishment.

They have been imprisoned while they are only guilty of following the revolution path, defending the serving of justice for the bloods that were unjustly shed and helping the families of the innocents that were imprisoned after the election. They are now in prison while those responsible for the recent disasters are free and the authorities are claiming that they will surely investigate the committed crimes. Are you going to do this by destroying the evidence of the crimes and imprisoning those who were following up on the victims’ rights?!

People’s dignities are protected in their children. Now people are asking those who claim to guard the Islamic Republic that how they honoured the respect of the family of the innocent martyr of the revolution, Ayatollah Dr. Beheshti?

People of Iran!

It is obvious that your efforts to restore peace to the society are not going to be responded wisely. Dangerous days are ahead. Arresting individuals like Dr. Beheshti is a sign that forecasts more dangerous events. But the evil is doomed and what benefits people will remain. Maintain your calm and awareness. The new series of events that have started, same as the other pathetic actions these days, won’t bring anything for your opponents but damage. Be careful not to let them provoke you and while destroying themselves not to harm your home and country.

I specially offer my condolences for the defamation of the innocent Beheshti to the children of that martyr, his students, followers, admirers and all devotees of the revolution and Islam; and pray to God that this sorrow which has been created in the hearts of our people would be compensated by enduring the honour of this family.

Mir Hossein Mousavi
September 9,2009

Earlier translation:


I am baffled by these arrests [of Beheshti and Alviri]. Their only crime was to investigate atrocities committed and bring justice to the innocent. They are now imprisoned, but those committing the crimes are free and claim they are investigating the crimes. Does destroying the documents of evidence and imprisoning the people investigating them serve justice?

"People of Iran, apparently your struggles to bring back peace and calmness are not being answered wisely. Hard days are ahead of us. The arrests of Beheshti and Alvari warn us of more dreadful events to come. Stay calm but alert: a series of new events have started, but it's only self-destructive for the regime. Stay alert, do not let them agitate you and destroy our country in these events."