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Saturday
Jul242010

Gaza Latest: Israel Warnings over 2 Aid Ships, UN Flotilla Enquiry, & More

Israel Concerned over New Flotillas: On Friday, Israeli officials urged  warned Lebanon to prevent two aid ships, Junia and Julia, from departing to Gaza.

Defense Minister Ehud Barak issued a statement that the aid ships were an "unnecessary provocation" like other flotillas:
We hold the Lebanese government responsible for preventing the flotilla from departing today, and if it does depart it will be accompanied by Israel's Navy to the Ashdod port. If the ship refuses to be accompanied to Ashdod we will have no choice but to apprehend it in open waters.

Middle East Inside Line: Abbas-US Tension, Netanyahu’s “Political Risk”, More Gaza Flotillas?, UN-Israeli Relations


Israel's ambassador to the United Nations, Gabriela Shalev, accused organizers of the aid ships of "seeking to incite a confrontation and raise tensions in our region".

In letters to Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon and the Security Council obtained Thursday by The Associated Press, Shalev said, "Israel reserves its right under international law to use all necessary means to prevent these ships from violating the ... naval blockade."

UN Probe on Flotilla Attack: The United Nations Human Rights Council has appointed a team of international experts on Friday to investigate Israel's raid in on the Gaza-bound Freedom Flotilla.

The fact-finding team comprises three independent experts --- Sir Desmond de Silva (Britain), Karl Hudson-Phillips (Trinidad and Tobago,) and Mary Shanthi Dairiam (Malaysia).

An Israeli Foreign Ministry official said that the UN Human Rights Council's made its decision in haste, and that it was "part of the Rights Council's obsession against Israel" . The official added:
The Israeli probe, conducted with transparency, makes the organization's probe completely unnecessary.

Israel Returning Freedom Flotilla Ships to Turkey: Israel has given up asking Ankara for a guarantee against the Freedom Flotilla's craft being used in another attempt to break the siege on Gaza and will send three ships back to Turkey.

Israel Military Puts Flotilla Issues Back to Government: In an interview with Reshet Bet on Friday, Maj.-Gen Giora Eiland, head of the military commission conducting an internal investigation of the attack on the Freedom Flotilla, said that it was possible to prevent the flotilla's mission to Gaza by political means.

Eiland, noting "changing political winds in Turkey", suggested that Israel "could have opened the Gaza crossings in advance, before the Turkish flotilla". However, he said, Israel preferred waiting for international pressure before taking steps.
Saturday
Jul242010

US Politics: An Alternative Tea Party --- "Your Animosity Hurts the Country"

Amidst a US political scene dominated by bitterness and invective --- latest episodes include the row over the proposed mosque near the site of the 11 September 2001 attacks and the dismissal of an Obama Administration official for "racism" after the distribution of a misleading video by a high-profile right-wing website --- "the Chamomile Tea Party" has put up a set of posters for a way forward. We offer three examples:





Saturday
Jul242010

China This Week: Drills In The Yellow Sea; China’s Energy Progress; Dalian Pipeline Blast

US-South Korea Drill in Yellow Sea: China on Wednesday expressed its latest opposition to joint drills between the United States and South Korea , which Seoul-based media reported will occur in the Yellow Sea by early September.

It was the sixth time this month that Beijing has protested the joint drills, which were delayed following the Chinese objections. "We resolutely oppose any foreign military vessel and aircraft conducting activities in the Yellow Sea and China's coastal waters that undermine China's security interests. We will continue to follow closely the developments of the situation", Foreign Ministry spokesman Qin Gang said.

The US and South Korea originally scheduled the exercises after the suspected North Korean role in the deadly sinking of South Korean warship Cheonan in March.



During a visit to South Korea on Wednesday, US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton announced new sanctions against North Korea, targeted at the sale or procurement of arms and related goods as well as the procurement of luxury items.

Chinese Army Holds Yellow Sea Drill: The People's Liberation Army (PLA) held a military supply drill in the Yellow Sea over last weekend.

The drill was aimed at improving defense capabilities against long-distance attacks. Four helicopters and four rescue vessels were deployed for the exercise.

China Strengthens Military Ties: Vice Chairman of China's Central Military Commission Guo Boxiong Wednesday pledged to enhance military exchanges with Angola.

Guo made the vow in his meeting with visiting Angolan Minister of Defense Candido Pereira dos Santos Van-Dunem.

China and Laos on Thursday pledged to further strengthen military links during a meeting between China's Defense Minister Liang Guanglie and visiting Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Defense of Laos Douangchay Phichit.

"China attaches importance to the bilateral relationship with Laos and its armed forces. This is not only in the interest of the two peoples, but also conducive to regional security and development," Liang said.

Pakistan's navy is very satisfied with the performance of the F-22P frigate it bought from China and hopes to further the cooperation with the nation, said Admiral Noman Bashir, Pakistan's Chief of Naval Staff.

Pakistan has proposed development of strategic maritime cooperation with China in both military and commercial sectors, such as fisheries, economic development zones, and cargo, Bashir said.

China Makes Critical Nuclear Progress: China's endeavour to increase the use of clean energy was boosted on Wednesday after an experimental fast reactor, using mostly homegrown fourth-generation nuclear technology, reached the critical state.

Fast reactors that run on fourth-generation technology use fuel in optimally to reduce energy costs. The technology will lift the uranium usage ratio to as high as 70 percent from the existing 1 percent, reducing the nation's reliance on foreign fuel imports.

The fast reactor program has been set up with a total investment of 2.5 billion yuan ($369 million). China is the eighth country to successfully master the technology.

China plans to set up 60 new nuclear reactors with a capacity of around 75 million kilowatts by 2020. The country is also constructing 23 machine sets to harness nuclear power, the largest among the 57 such sets in the world.

China Dismisses "Top Energy User" Title: China on Tuesday rejected a report by the International Energy Agency that Beijing surpassed the US to become the world's biggest energy consumer last year.

"The IEA's data on China's energy use is unreliable," Zhou Xian, an official with the National Energy Administration, said.

According to the IEA, China consumed 2.252 billion tons of oil equivalent in 2009, 0.4 percent more than the 2.17 billion tons of the US. China's National Bureau f Statistics said in a report in February that China's energy consumption last year stood at 3.1 billion tons of standard coal equivalent, which was equal to 2.132 billion tons of oil equivalent.

China to Reduce Reliance on Coal: China's coal consumption is likely to drop to 63 percent of total energy consumption by 2015, down from 70 percent last year.

Non-fossil fuels will provide 11 percent of China's energy needs in 2015 and 15 percent in 2020, said Jiang Bing, head of the development and planning department of the National Energy Administration.

China closed 620 substandard small coal mines in the first five months of the year, said Zhou Xi'an, another senior official with the NEA.

CNPC Plans for Xinjiang: Xinjiang Uygur autonomous region is expected to become the country's most significant base in oil and gas production, refining and chemicals manufacturing, oil storage, and engineering, and technology services in the next 10 years, according to China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC), the nation's largest oil company.

Xinjiang will also become a strategic route for oil and gas imports from Central Asia and Russia, it said.

Oil and gas production in Xinjiang is expected to reach 50 million tons of oil equivalent in 2015. The figure will further rise to 60 million tons in 2020 and is expected to be sustained for 20 years, according to CNPC.

China Accepts ASEAN Consensus on Enlargement: China attaches importance to and respects the consensus reached among the ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations) members concerning the enlargement of the East Asia Summit (EAS), Foreign Ministry spokesman Qin Gang said Wednesday.

Qin was responding to the EAS's indication that it will bring in the United States and Russia as its new members. China will stay in close contact with related parties till a consensus is reached, Qin added.

ASEAN includes Brunei, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam.

Dalian Oil Supply Resumes: China is rushing to resume supply operations at Dalian's Xingang Harbor as cleanup operations continue six days after two pipelines exploded and spewed crude oil into the sea.

Dalian is one of China's major oil production and distribution hubs. It also has popular beaches, many of which were closed after crude oil washed up on them.

The oil pipeline exploded late on 16 July near Dalian's Xingang harbor, causing a smaller pipeline nearby also operated by a unit of PetroChina to blow up. The fire was extinguished the next day, 15 hours after the initial blast.

The incident occurred when an oil tanker was unloading, according to a statement on the Ministry of Transport's website, which did not indicate the cause.

China Cracks Down on Online Piracy: Chinese authorities launched a three-month nationwide campaign on Wednesday to crack down on illegal disttribution on the Internet.

Internet websites based in China that are found selling pirated books, DVDs, or other publications, as well as those providing links to pirated music, software, and movies, could be blocked and shut down.

Selling or uploading pirated publications related to the ongoing Shanghai World Exposition and upcoming Guangzhou Asian Games will also face severe punishment.
Friday
Jul232010

MENA House: Egypt and the Mercedes Benz Bribery Case

Daimler AG, makers of Mercedes Benz automobiles, was charged on 23 March with violating US bribery laws by "generously" showering foreign officials with gifts of luxury cars and large cash sums to close off business deals.

Daimler plans to pay $185 million to settle charges by the US Justice Department and the Securities and Exchange Commission while its German and Russian units plan to plead guilty to the criminal charges.

At least states are allegedly involved in a long-standing practice of receiving bribes from Daimler, including Russia, China, Turkey, Nigeria, Iraq and Egypt. Official documentation filed in the US court includes evidence of an armored car given to an official in Turkmenistan and another to a Liberian official.

So where does Egypt come into this?

On 13 June, Attorney General Abdel Meguid Mahmoud requested "more accurate " information from US authorities regarding the Daimler AG case. Whilst there is widespread discussion that an Egyptian official received bribes, there has been no official documentation or evidence to prove the allegations.

On Tuesday, the editor-in-chief of Al Masry Al Youm, Magdi Galad, boldly stated on national television that he knew the identity of the Egyptian "senior official" who received bribes from Daimler.  He added that if he publishes the information he has, he would be put in prison.

Galad's statement was made as security sources said that the documents which could have aided in the identification of the Egyptian official involved in the bribery have "disappeared".

Galad reassured the public that when the official document is "found", the nation will find out who the mystery man is.

And so we wait a bit longer....
Friday
Jul232010

The Latest from Iran (23 July): Receding Authority

1130 GMT: New Media Nonsense. A quick note to The International Herald Tribune: if  you are going to shell out money for a guest columnist to discuss the political effects of new media in the Middle East and Iran, you might to go to someone who is actually involved with those new media. Otherwise you get declarations like this:
We must face the fact that all the new media and hundreds of thousands of young bloggers from Morocco to Iran have not triggered a single significant or lasting change in Arab or Iranian political culture. Not a single one. Zero.

(I should add that I am a great admirer of Rami Khouri, who wrote the column. To my knowledge, however, his primary connection with the subject on which he is pronouncing is as an observer of "Millions of young people communicate with each other digitally, express their views and identities, and sometimes mobilize for causes as disparate as promoting a new movie, arranging a dance party, sharing photos or bemoaning a tired old dictator".)

NEW Iran Interview: Detained US Hiker’s Mother “I Wish I Could Hear Her Voice”
Iran Analysis: The Supreme Leader & the Disappearing Fatwa (Verde)
The Latest from Iran (22 July): Confusing Regime


1030 GMT: Talking Tough. Minister of Commerce Mehdi Ghazanfari has warned against any plan for the inspection of the country's cargo ships: "Iran reserves the right to respond to inspections as any such attempts will be a move beyond the sanctions resolution."

0855 GMT: Today's All-is-Well Alert. Press TV, drawing from Mehr News, reports:
Iran ranks sixth among the world's countries based on inward Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) performance, the latest report released by a UN agency shows.

New data released by the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) show that Iran attracted more than $3 billion of direct investment from abroad in 2009, which is twice the amount of the previous year. This is despite the fact that global FDI inflows dropped during 2009 as compared to the previous year.

The UNCTAD ranking is for the year 2009, the most recent year available, and examines the economies of 141 economies.

The link to the "Country Fact Sheet" for the report is currently broken. Other reports have indicated that foreign direct investment into Iran has plummeted in recent months.

0605 GMT: Declaration of the Day. Meeting the son of the late Grand Ayatollah Fadlallah on Thursday, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad pronounced, "All the injustices and brutalities in the world today will soon be eradicated with the awakening of all nations."

No comment.

0530 GMT: Three days after it started, the affair of the Supreme Leader's "disappearing" fatwa is still inconclusive. There has no been explanation for why his declaration --- "I am the Rule of the Prophet" --- suddenly showed up and was then withdrawn from most of the official Iranian media.

Mr Verde has done an excellent job at rounding up the political and religious possibilities, none of which are promising for Ayatollah Khamenei's authority. I will go a step further: amidst all the challenges within the Iranian system, the confusion points to two aspects:

1. The Supreme Leader wanted to bring senior clerics, many of whom have been disquieted by the growing conflict amongst "the establishment", in line by asserting his leadership. The fatwa was the wrong move, however: far from reassuring the clerics of Khamenei's authority, it soon provoked more concern. So it had to be pulled back.

And/or...

2. There is a rift even within Khamenei's inner circle. One group pushed this initiative --- likely with Khamenei's assent, but possibly going farther than the Supreme Leader might have expected --- another pushed back.

Speculative, I know. So maybe it's best to start by saying that the outcome of this week is not clarity but confusion. And, as Mr Verde has driven home, it is not strength but weakness.

Meanwhile....

The Universities Fight

In another pointer to the challenges for and possibly to the Supreme Leader, conservative politician Morteza Nabavi has said that Khamenei has left the resolution of the conflict over Islamic Azad University to the judiciary.

Political Prisoner Watch

Zahra Rahnavard, activist and wife of Mir Hossein Mousavi, http://www.rahesabz.net/story/20011/ of labour activist Mansur Osanloo, who has been detained for three years.

The "Discussions with the US" Diversion

The curious episode of Iran's claims that it has been approached by Washington for talks --- revelation or propaganda? --- trundles on. Reformist MP Mostafa Kavakebian has said there should be no preconditions on discussions.

Trouble with the Water

The Governor of Tehran Province, Morteza Tamaddon, has insisted that the Minister of Health is responsible for the problems with the capital's polluted water supply.